Match Info

World Championship

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Swiss Life Arena (Zürich)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN+
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	Magenta Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ plus
Sweden	TV10, Viaplay
Switzerland	SRF 2, SRF 2
World	IIHF TV


	Germany		Latvia

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.9	4.4	Watch
	1.6	4.6	4.5
	1.65	4.75	4.35	Watch
	1.68	4.7	4.4
	1.65	4.66	4.28	Watch
	1.6	4.5	4
	1.67	4.5	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 (1.63)	4.66 ↑ (4.5)	4.3 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
57.8%

Draw
20.3%

Latvia
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

20.2%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

21.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Latvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Germany that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Latvia than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Germany - Latvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Germany will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Latvia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Latvia (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 7.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Latvia (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Latvia (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Latvia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Grubauer P. (G) Seattle Kraken	50. Gudlevskis K. (G) Pinguins Bremerhaven
53. Seider M. (C) Detroit Red Wings	27. Cibulskis O. Herning Blue Fox
38. Wagner F. Munchen	3. Smits A. Munchen
40. Ehl A. Adler Mannheim	21. Balcers R. (C) Zurich
65. Michaelis M. (A) Adler Mannheim	73. Smirnovs D. Kloten
72. Kahun D. (A) Lausanne	23. Vilmanis S. Charlotte Checkers
Line 2
6. Wissmann K. Eisbaren Berlin	77. Zile K. (A) Liberec
12. Mik E. Eisbaren Berlin	29. Freibergs R. (A) Olomouc
95. Tiffels F. Eisbaren Berlin	22. Andersons T. La Chaux-de-Fonds
44. Samanski J. Edmonton Oilers	95. Batna O. Pelicans Lahti
73. Reichel L. Boston Bruins	17. Dzierkals M. Sparta Prague
Line 3
25. Huttl L. ERC Ingolstadt	55. Mamcics R. Karlovy Vary
9. Gawanke L. Adler Mannheim	4. Bindulis K. Michalovce
71. Fischbuch D.	14. Murnieks O. Saint John Sea Dogs
15. Loibl S. Straubing Tigers	97. Egle H. Karlovy Vary
75. Dove-McFalls S. Nurnberg Ice Tigers	89. Buncis F. Rungsted
Line 4
64. Weber M. Nurnberg Ice Tigers	42. Tumanovs M. Jokerit
21. Krammer N. Pinguins Bremerhaven	5. Andzans A. Hameenlinna
56. Wiederer M. Eisbaren Berlin	37. Lapinskis O. Langnau Tigers
7. Kastner M. Munchen	12. Prohorenkovs G. Niagara Purple Eagles
	87. Skrastins K. New Hampshire Wildcats
Substitutes
1. Stettmer J. (G) ERC Ingolstadt	40. Mitens M. (G) Ban. Bystrica
62. Tuomie P.
Coaches
. Kreis H.	. Vitolins H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
10:01, Buncis F. (2 min),
10:01, Seider M. (2 min),
18:19, 0 - 1, Dzierkals M. (G), Batna O. (A),
19:17, Balcers R. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:56, Kahun D. (2 min),
04:56, 0 - 2, Balcers R. (G), Smirnovs D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
02:54, Lapinskis O. (2 min),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Germany won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Latvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Germany is the team to beat.

There will not play in Latvia: Krastenbergs R. (Off the roster) Zabusovs P. (Off the roster)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Germany won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 56:41. (average 2.9:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany hockey
IIHF World Championship
15.05.26	Finland - Germany	3:1 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
10.05.26	Germany - USA	2:5 ✺
02.05.26	Germany - Austria	5:2 ✺
30.04.26	Austria - Germany	3:4 ✺
25.04.26	Germany - Slovakia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWW
- Latvia hockey
IIHF World Championship
16.05.26	Switzerland - Latvia	4:2 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.05.26	Latvia - Norway	4:3 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Latvia - Norway	3:2 OT ✺
03.05.26	Slovakia - Latvia	5:2 ✺
02.05.26	Slovakia - Latvia	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
14.02.26	Germany - Latvia	3:4
European Cup of Nations Hockey
06.11.25	Germany - Latvia	4:1
IIHF World Championship
15.05.24	Germany - Latvia	8:1
01.06.21	Germany - Latvia	2:1
Hockey Germany Cup
08.11.20	Germany - Latvia	2:3 OT
07.11.20	Germany - Latvia	2:0
IIHF World Championship
12.05.18	Latvia - Germany	3:1

Germany - Latvia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide