Match Info

WORLD: World Championship

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ostravar Arena (Ostrava) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	20:20	Viaplay
Finland	21:20	Viaplay, V Sport
Germany	20:20	Magenta Sport
Norway	20:20	Viaplay, V Sport
Slovenia	20:20	Arena Sport
Sweden	20:20	TV6, Viaplay


	Germany		Sweden

	1	X	2
	8.25	6.25	1.29	Watch
	8	6.5	1.28
	9.4	6.8	1.27
	8.26	6.75	1.24
	8.26	6.75	1.25
	8	6	1.25
	9.15	6.94	1.29	Watch
	10	6.6	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.67 ↑ (5.55)	6.57 ↑ (5.09)	1.27 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Germany
10.9%

Draw
14.4%

Sweden
74.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17%

18.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

19.4%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Germany has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Germany's form might have worsened.

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sweden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Germany than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Germany, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sweden than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sweden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Germany - Sweden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Grubauer P. (G) Seattle Kraken	33. Ersson S. (G) Philadelphia Flyers
6. Wissmann K. Eisbaren Berlin	65. Karlsson E. (C) Pittsburgh Penguins
41. Muller J. Eisbaren Berlin	77. Hedman V. (A) Tampa Bay Lightning
40. Ehl A. Dusseldorf	23. Raymond L. (A) Detroit Red Wings
19. Stachowiak W. ERC Ingolstadt	14. Eriksson J. Minnesota Wild
33. Peterka J. Buffalo Sabres	9. Kempe A. Los Angeles Kings
Line 2
49. Kaelble L. Adler Mannheim	26. Dahlin R. Buffalo Sabres
91. Muller Mor. (C) Kolner Haie	25. Brodin J. Minnesota Wild
95. Tiffels F. Eisbaren Berlin	95. Burakovsky A. Seattle Kraken
72. Kahun D. (A) Bern	29. Holmberg P. Toronto Maple Leafs
73. Reichel L. Chicago Blackhawks	90. Johansson M. Minnesota Wild
Line 3
5. Fohrler T. Adler Mannheim	72. Heed T. Ambri-Piotta
38. Wagner F. ERC Ingolstadt	28. Pettersson M. Pittsburgh Penguins
83. Pfoederl L. Eisbaren Berlin	49. Zetterlund F. San Jose Sharks
65. Michaelis M. Adler Mannheim	37. Lundestrom I. Anaheim Ducks
42. Ehliz Y. (A) Munchen	71. Olofsson V. Buffalo Sabres
Line 4
79. Ugbekile C. Iserlohn Roosters	32. Bengtsson L. Zug
17. Eder T. Eisbaren Berlin	82. Froden J. Zurich
7. Kastner M. Munchen	59. Johansson L. Farjestad
62. Tuomie P.	91. Grundstrom C. Los Angeles Kings
Substitutes
77. Fischbuch D. Adler Mannheim	16. Sorum F. U. Leksand
35. Niederberger M. (G) Munchen	30. Wallstedt J. (G) Minnesota Wild
Coaches
. Kreis H.	. Hallam S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
02:54, 0 - 1, Karlsson E. (G), Froden J. (A),
14:52, 0 - 2, Pettersson M. (G), Heed T. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
19:48, Peterka J. (2 min),
19:57, 0 - 3, Olofsson V. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Burakovsky A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:46, (2 min),
04:31, 0 - 4, Grundstrom C. (G), Dahlin R. (A), Johansson L. (A2)
08:50, Eriksson J. (2 min),
08:50, Muller J. (2 min),
09:22, 0 - 5, Burakovsky A. (G), Holmberg P. (A), Johansson M. (A2)
10:58, Eder T. (2 min),
17:43, Ehliz Y. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:01, Grubauer P. ↓, Niederberger M. ↑,
00:19, Kaelble L. (2 min),
07:38, 1 - 5, Pfoederl L. (G), Michaelis M. (A), Ehliz Y. (A2)
11:08, 1 - 6, Lundestrom I. (G), Karlsson E. (A), Bengtsson L. (A2)
14:14, Muller Mor. (2 min),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Germany won 2.

Recent matches Germany is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sweden is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sweden could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sweden is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Germany won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20-36.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Germany hockey
IIHF World Championship
11.05.24	USA - Germany	6:1 ✺
10.05.24	Slovakia - Germany	4:6 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
06.05.24	Germany - France	4:3 OT ✺
04.05.24	Germany - France	3:5 ✺
27.04.24	Austria - Germany	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWLL
- Sweden hockey
IIHF World Championship
12.05.24	Sweden - Poland	5:1 ✺
10.05.24	Sweden - USA	5:2 ✺
Euro Hockey Tour - Czech Hockey Games
05.05.24	Sweden - Finland	3:4 penalties ✺
04.05.24	Czech Republic - Sweden	0:2 ✺
02.05.24	Sweden - Switzerland	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
12.05.23	Sweden - Germany	1:0
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
21.02.18	Sweden - Germany	3:4 OT
16.02.18	Sweden - Germany	1:0
IIHF World Championship
06.05.17	Germany - Sweden	2:7
Friendly International Ice Hockey
17.04.16	Germany - Sweden	3:2 penalties
16.04.16	Germany - Sweden	1:3
IIHF World Championship
07.05.15	Sweden - Germany	4:3

Germany - Sweden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide