Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 27

Date: 22 December 2025, Monday

Location: Pranives (Selva di Val Gardena)


	Gherdëina		Vipiteno

	1	X	2
	3.05	4.15	1.82	Watch
	3.08	4.37	1.87	Watch
	2.9	4.2	1.85
	3.23	4.05	1.85	Watch
	3	4.3	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.08)	4.21 ↓ (4.37)	1.84 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gherdëina
29.6%

Draw
21.4%

Vipiteno
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

21%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

20.4%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gherdëina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Vipiteno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vipiteno than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Gherdëina - Vipiteno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
96. Hofer P. (G)	98. Groh D. (G)
29. Buono C.	44. Nitz G.
43. Guimond S.	2. Gschnitzer J.
23. Deluca S.	54. Conci D.
44. Schiavone D.	90. Cianfrone B.
74. Biondi L.	26. Sproviero F.
Line 2
14. Vozovik D.	84. Nardon L.
55. Vigl A.	4. Ramo J.
34. Dostalek V.	12. Livingston J.
28. Moncada L.	37. Gschliesser F.
22. Pitschieler S.	22. Zandegiacomo L.
Line 3
5. Linder B.	91. Brunner A.
68. Soracreppa S.	21. Soraruf D.
17. Luisetti M.	61. Kruselburger L.
33. Esposito N.	19. Eisendle P.
89. Kasslatter H.	80. Zecchetto A.
Line 4
	16. Niccolai M.
	41. Hofer E.
	34. Planatscher A.
	79. Kerschbaumer J.
Substitutes
21. Andriolo N.	30. Klammer F. (G)
9. Ghiglione D.
71. Rindone M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 2)
00:38, 0 - 1, Ramo J. (G), Sproviero F. (A), Livingston J. (A2)
05:03, 1 - 1, Pitschieler S. (G), Guimond S. (A), Moncada L. (A2)
05:15, 1 - 2, Zandegiacomo L. (G), Livingston J. (A),
06:41, 2 - 2, Pitschieler S. (G), Vozovik D. (A), Moncada L. (A2)
08:47, 3 - 2, Dostalek V. (G), Guimond S. (A), Schiavone D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
07:06, 4 - 2, Kasslatter H. (G), Luisetti M. (A),
14:09, 5 - 2, Dostalek V. (G), Buono C. (A), Moncada L. (A2)
16:33, 6 - 2, Pitschieler S. (G), Vozovik D. (A),
19:31, 6 - 3, Conci D. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Vipiteno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Vipiteno has had a series of home games.

Vipiteno is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 70:84. (average 3.5:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gherdëina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:35. (average 4.2:3.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Gherdëina - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Gherdëina
Alps Hockey League
20.12.25	Gherdëina - Unterland Cavaliers	7:6 penalties ✺
18.12.25	Zell am See - Gherdëina	7:1 ✺
13.12.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	6:2 ✺
07.12.25	Cortina - Gherdëina	4:3 OT ✺
06.12.25	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLW
- Broncos Sterzing-Vipiteno
Alps Hockey League
20.12.25	Vipiteno - Kitzbühel	6:3 ✺
18.12.25	Ritten-Renon - Vipiteno	4:3 OT ✺
06.12.25	Vipiteno - Asiago	3:7 ✺
30.11.25	Vipiteno - Merano Junior	3:1 ✺
27.11.25	Vipiteno - Unterland Cavaliers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
22.11.25	Gherdëina - Vipiteno	2:6
09.10.25	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	1:2
18.02.25	Gherdëina - Vipiteno	3:5
13.02.25	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	4:0
30.12.24	Gherdëina - Vipiteno	4:3 OT
14.11.24	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	8:2
24.10.24	Vipiteno - Gherdëina	1:3

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