The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gherdëina 73.7%
Draw 14.5%
KAC II 11.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
67.1%
14.8%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.5%
15.9%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gherdëina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gherdëina's performance.
KAC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and KAC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gherdëina than the current prediction. (-11.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gherdëina that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAC II than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that KAC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Gherdëina - KAC II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
70. Porter C. (G)
32. Bulc L. (G)
94. Frenademez J.
8. Leitner L. E.
24. Moroder T.
39. Simovic F.
23. Deluca S.
74. Klassek S.
44. Schiavone D.
86. Plemelj A.
74. Biondi L.
14. Gregoric A.
Line 2
27. Bettega C.
43. Smolnikar T.
68. Soracreppa S.
23. Bohs G.
72. Bogdanov I.
18. Bizjak M.
77. Pietroniro M.
28. Schrott L.
22. Pitschieler S.
84. Hebar A.
Line 3
20. Colli A.
25. Petritsch M.
14. Vozovik D.
51. Rakovic J.
15. Dostalek V.
40. Vodnjov M.
17. Luisetti M.
34. Micelli N.
89. Kasslatter H.
10. van Ee L.
Line 4
77. Schwendinger S.
17. Wadel M.
22. Dreier L.
24. Fartek T.
Substitutes
33. Esposito N.
1. Haberl J. (G)
6. Mandruzzato G.
30. Plancker A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
00:42, 1 - 0, Soracreppa S. (G), Bettega C. (A), Biondi L. (A2)
03:20, 2 - 0, Dostalek V. (G), Colli A. (A), Vozovik D. (A2)
09:00, 3 - 0, Pietroniro M. (G), Vozovik D. (A), Dostalek V. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:09, 4 - 0, Kasslatter H. (G), Pietroniro M. (A), Bogdanov I. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gherdëina won 4.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
KAC II could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Gherdëina holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Gherdëina has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:48 (averaging 4.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gherdëina against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 46:20 goals (averaging 5.1:2.2 per game).
Watch
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Porter C. (G) 
Bulc L. (G) 
Frenademez J. 
Leitner L. E. 
Schrott L. 
Hebar A. 
Vozovik D. 
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