Match Info

NMHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Granit Chekhov		Polyot Rybinsk

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.4	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	4.4 (4.4)	3.64 (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granit Chekhov
54.2%

Draw
20.7%

Polyot Rybinsk
25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

21.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Granit Chekhov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Polyot Rybinsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granit Chekhov than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
08:22, 1 - 0, Ofitserov I. (G), Orlenko V. (A),
12:55, 2 - 0, Chelmakin M. (G), Nazhmiyev B. (A),
14:41, 2 - 1, Sultanov R. (G), Lazar K. (A), Shaimardanov A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:02, 2 - 2, Sultanov R. (G), Kurmanayev D. (A), Zolotovsky D. (A2)
19:38, 3 - 2, Sinitsyn A. (G), Styoksov K. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
01:55, 3 - 3, Sultanov R. (G), Kurmanayev D. (A),
07:00, 4 - 3, Polikarpov F. (G), Ofitserov I. (A), Bykov D. (A2)
12:49, 5 - 3, Polikarpov F. (G), Onishchenko M. (A),

Preview

First leg.

Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Polyot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Granit won 3.

Granit is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Polyot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Granit has had a series of away games.

Recently, Polyot has had a series of home games.

In this match, Granit is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Granit won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:39. (average 3.6:3.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Granit won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 3.2:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granit Chekhov
RHL
22.03.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Granit Chekhov	6:2 ✺
21.03.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Granit Chekhov	3:2 ✺
18.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	5:6 OT ✺
17.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	9:7 ✺
13.03.26	Granit Chekhov - Voevoda Podolsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
22.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Fakel Salekhard	1:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	5:6 OT ✺
17.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	9:7 ✺
09.03.26	Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
18.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	5:6 OT
17.03.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Granit Chekhov	9:7
21.12.25	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2
20.12.25	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	2:1
28.11.24	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	3:4
27.11.24	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2
26.01.24	Granit Chekhov - Polyot Rybinsk	4:2

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