Match Info

NMHL

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Kaluga		Polyot Rybinsk

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.95	4.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)	4.95 ↑ (4.85)	4.73 (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
62.4%

Draw
18.4%

Polyot Rybinsk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

18.8%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

19.6%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Polyot Rybinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 2)
03:59, 0 - 1, Sultanov R. (G), Lazar K. (A),
12:11, 0 - 2, Petrov N. (G), Sultanov R. (A), Kurmanayev D. (A2)
13:11, 1 - 2, Chemerskikh S. (G), Vildanov A. (A),
16:03, 2 - 2, Dolgorukov D. (G), Vildanov A. (A),
16:23, 3 - 2, Repin R. (G), Fatkullin D. (A), Kitanin I. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
13:43, 4 - 2, Dyachenko N. (G), Ignatov N. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
01:45, 5 - 2, Meshcherin K. (G), Meshkantsov N. (A),

Preview

Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Polyot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 3.

Kaluga is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Polyot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kaluga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kaluga is a strong favorite.

We predict that Kaluga will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 4.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Kaluga
RHL
06.03.26	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	8:3 ✺
05.03.26	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:2 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Arktika Murmansk - Kaluga	4:5 OT ✺
21.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:5 ✺
20.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
06.03.26	Bryansk - Polyot Rybinsk	2:3 ✺
05.03.26	Bryansk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:3 OT ✺
22.02.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Voevoda Podolsk	6:3 ✺
21.02.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Voevoda Podolsk	4:7 ✺
18.02.26	Polyot Rybinsk - Buran Moscow	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
09.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	4:3
08.12.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	3:8
08.03.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	2:5
07.03.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Kaluga	4:1
26.10.24	Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk	6:3
25.10.24	Kaluga - Polyot Rybinsk	4:1

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