Match Info

Challenge Cup

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guildford Flames		Coventry Blaze

	1	X	2
	1.90	4.40	3.10
	1.95	4.50	2.95
	1.94	4.46	2.88	Watch
	1.91	4.20	2.97
	1.92	4.30	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)	4.37 ↓ (4.49)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guildford Flames
47.9%

Draw
21.1%

Coventry Blaze
31%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

20.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

21.8%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guildford Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Coventry Blaze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guildford Flames than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry Blaze than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

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Lineups

Line 1
40. Fazio J. (G)	30. Heikkeri S. (G)
26. Kallen N.	7. Russell C.
71. Boudrias K.	4. Musser C.
95. Sanford C.	27. Ezman J.
63. Gosselin M.	28. Buzoverya A.
91. Waller J.	11. Perlini B. (A)
Line 2
8. McFaul D.	24. McKenzie Z.
77. Power J.	6. Nielsen A.
68. Neumann B.	40. Boysen W.
28. Alvaro M. (C)	77. Ness G.
16. Jacome J. (A)	63. Gleason M.
Line 3
45. Brown T.	58. Clements D. (C)
5. Racine J.	22. Csollak M.
14. Lavoie A.	15. Hopkins J.
13. Busch T. (A)	14. MacArthur C.
67. Ducharme J.	18. Richardson R.
Line 4
19. Lewis E.	9. Ruffin S.
98. Talbot S.	10. Kaspick T.
24. Milton Z.	8. Capps B.
Substitutes
30. Long A. (G)	50. Fitzpatrick E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
14:52, 0 - 1, Richardson R. (G), Kaspick T. (A),
16:12, 1 - 1, Sanford C. (G), Waller J. (A), Gosselin M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
17:05, 2 - 1, Lavoie A. (G), Busch T. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guildford won 3.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Guildford holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Guildford has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 62:55 (averaging 3.1:2.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guildford against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 31:19 goals (averaging 3.4:2.1 per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Guildford Flames - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.2%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Coventry Blaze - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.3%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guildford Flames
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
18.10.26	Sheffield Steelers - Guildford Flames	4:3 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Guildford Flames - Manchester Storm	4:3 penalties ✺
United Kingdom Elite League
11.10.26	Glasgow Clan - Guildford Flames	2:6 ✺
10.10.26	Fife Flyers - Guildford Flames	10:2 ✺
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
04.10.26	Guildford Flames - Nottingham Panthers	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWLL
- Coventry Blaze
United Kingdom Challenge Cup Ice Hockey
18.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Nottingham Panthers	2:1 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Cardiff Devils - Coventry Blaze	5:4 OT ✺
United Kingdom Elite League
11.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Dundee Stars	8:2 ✺
10.10.26	Coventry Blaze - Belfast Giants	0:1 ✺
07.10.26	Fife Flyers - Coventry Blaze	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
06.09.26	Coventry Blaze - Guildford Flames	6:4
05.09.26	Guildford Flames - Coventry Blaze	7:2
United Kingdom Elite League
22.03.26	Guildford Flames - Coventry Blaze	4:0
28.02.26	Coventry Blaze - Guildford Flames	2:3
10.01.26	Guildford Flames - Coventry Blaze	2:3 OT
20.12.25	Guildford Flames - Coventry Blaze	1:2 penalties
07.12.25	Coventry Blaze - Guildford Flames	3:4

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