Match Info

SLOVAKIA: EXTRALIGA - ROUND 44

Date: 16 February 2024, Friday


	HC 19 Humenné		Poprad

	1	X	2
	4.5	5	1.5
	4.6	5	1.5
	5.05	4.95	1.48
	5.09	4.75	1.43
	5.6	4.99	1.48
	4	4.75	1.5
	4.93	4.9	1.5
	5	5	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.3)	4.92 ↑ (4.73)	1.49 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC 19 Humenné
19.1%

Draw
18.8%

Poprad
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

19.6%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

19.1%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC 19 Humenné has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Poprad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC 19 Humenné than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poprad than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

HC 19 Humenné - Poprad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Liga and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Extraliga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

HC 19 Humenné is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Poprad is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently HC 19 Humenné have a series of guest games.

In this match Poprad is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Poprad to win the game is with odds 1.52.

Last 4 head-to-head matches HC 19 Humenné won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams HC 19 Humenné won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC 19 Humenné
Slovak Extraliga
14.02.24	Zvolen - HC 19 Humenné	4:0 ✺
04.02.24	HC 19 Humenné - Banská Bystrica	4:5 penalties ✺
02.02.24	Slovan Bratislava - HC 19 Humenné	7:2 ✺
28.01.24	HC Košice - HC 19 Humenné	3:1 ✺
26.01.24	Dukla Michalovce - HC 19 Humenné	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLLLW
- HK Poprad
Slovak Extraliga
14.02.24	Poprad - Banská Bystrica	6:1 ✺
04.02.24	HC Košice - Poprad	2:3 ✺
02.02.24	Poprad - HC Dukla Trenčín	4:1 ✺
28.01.24	Nitra - Poprad	2:5 ✺
26.01.24	Spišská Nová Ves - Poprad	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
20.12.23	Poprad - HC 19 Humenné	6:0
03.11.23	HC 19 Humenné - Poprad	4:3
29.09.23	Poprad - HC 19 Humenné	1:2
Slovak Cup Hockey
31.08.23	Poprad - HC 19 Humenné	5:2

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