The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HC Dukla Trenčín 52.6%
Draw 21.3%
Banská Bystrica 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.7%
22%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
23.5%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Dukla Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Banská Bystrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HC Dukla Trenčín that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banská Bystrica than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
HC Dukla Trenčín - Banská Bystrica Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)
80. Lackovic J. (G)
58. Merkley R.
7. Lucas A.
2. Mikus J.
2. Lee J.
4. Descheneau J.
55. Valach M.
51. Spooner R.
42. Ticar R.
31. Lakatos D.
9. Faith R.
Line 2
89. Ferenc J.
77. Kubka B.
44. Hrenak M.
6. Zabka B.
22. Lunter L.
86. Loshing Y.
72. Linden T.
97. Gron S.
26. Barron T.
22. Soltes D.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.
54. Cesanek B.
7. Hain S.
27. Fereta S.
91. Krajc S.
21. Matousek T.
9. Siska J.
24. Zigo T.
41. Kudrna A.
72. Kabac M.
Line 4
12. Reznicak K.
23. Tomka L.
14. Krajcovic A.
89. Imriska N.
92. Bubela M.
67. Varga A.
18. Kalis M.
19. Gaso A.
11. Dudas T.
14. Jendek D.
Substitutes
30. Latkoczy S. (G)
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Barron T. (G), Merkley R. (A), Linden T. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
04:22, 1 - 1, Zigo T. (G),
14', 1 - 2, Kabac M. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
03:47, 2 - 2, Hatala A. (G), Linden T. (A), Barron T. (A2)
10:36, 2 - 3, Faith R. (G), Ticar R. (A), Valach M. (A2)
16:51, 3 - 3, Descheneau J. (G), Merkley R. (A), Linden T. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Siska J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Zigo T. (Penalty Shot),
2, Spooner R. (Penalty Shot),
2, Valach M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Descheneau J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Soltes D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Linden T. (Penalty Shot),
4, Ticar R. (Penalty Shot),
5, Lakatos D. (Penalty Shot),
5, Faith R. (Penalty Shot),
6, (Penalty Shot),
6, Faith R. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 0.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Dukla Trenčín may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Dukla Trenčín carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Trenčín has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:62 (averaging 2.6:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Trenčín against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 25:31 goals (averaging 2.5:3.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
7
Dukla Trencin
11
5
1
1
4
30:29
18
8
Ban. Bystrica
11
4
2
1
4
35:31
17
Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now
Ban. Bystrica: 4.26% Dukla Trencin: 4.26%
Last Results with these Odds
Banská Bystrica - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.27%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.