The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HC Dukla Trenčín 36.8%
Draw 22.9%
MsHK Žilina 40.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.8%
22.2%
43%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.6%
22.9%
44.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Dukla Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
MsHK Žilina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for MsHK Žilina than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
HC Dukla Trenčín - MsHK Žilina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)
32. Janus J. (G)
58. Merkley R.
67. Cajkovsky M.
2. Mikus J.
13. Gajdos F.
22. Lunter L.
26. Torok T.
26. Barron T.
21. Walega K.
41. Kudrna A.
88. Petras S.
Line 2
89. Ferenc J.
48. Gachulinec D.
74. Hlavac M.
16. Miller B.
4. Descheneau J.
82. Ritchie B.
27. Krivosik F.
23. Harris B.
31. Lakatos D.
22. Repcik P.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.
95. Holenda M.
7. Hain S.
24. Korencik M.
91. Krajc S.
25. Vasas F.
72. Linden T.
20. Galambos P.
93. Sop M.
8. Koys P.
Line 4
5. Krsak M.
15. Vajko T.
14. Krajcovic A.
12. Macak K.
92. Bubela M.
17. Juscak M.
18. Kalis M.
27. Dej R.
9. Siska J.
94. Vyhonsky A.
Substitutes
30. Latkoczy S. (G)
29. Kosaristan A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
04:51, 0 - 1, Holenda M. (G), Ritchie B. (A), Gajdos F. (A2)
10:14, 0 - 2, Petras S. (G), Cajkovsky M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:23, 1 - 2, Siska J. (G), Hain S. (A), Kudrna A. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:37, 2 - 2, Barron T. (G), Krivosik F. (A), Linden T. (A2)
13:08, 3 - 2, Bubela M. (G), Siska J. (A),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 1.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Recently, Žilina has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Trenčín has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:70 (averaging 2.6:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Trenčín against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 34:36 goals (averaging 3.1:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Zilina
15
8
2
2
3
47:28
30
4
Dukla Trencin
15
7
2
1
5
43:39
26
Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now
Zilina: 14.03% Dukla Trencin: 4.24%
Last Results with these Odds
MsHK Žilina - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.