Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 9

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Zimny stadion Pavla Demitru (Trenčín)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	HC Dukla Trenčín		Nitra

	1	X	2
	2.2	4.2	2.5
	2.25	4.25	2.50
	2.46	4.02	2.39
	2.54	3.7	2.27
	2.47	4.24	2.32	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.2
	2.48	4	2.25
	2.35	4	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)	4 ↓ (4.22)	2.34 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Dukla Trenčín
38.1%

Draw
22.9%

Nitra
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

22%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

23.5%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Dukla Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Hrenak D. (G)	33. Marinov M. (G)
58. Merkley R.	44. Osburn Z.
2. Mikus J.	24. Mezei B.
22. Lunter L.	67. Paulovic M.
26. Barron T.	71. Pollock B.
41. Kudrna A.	41. Timashov D.
Line 2
89. Ferenc J.	2. Baca M.
74. Hlavac M.	16. Stacha M.
91. Krajc S.	39. Lacka J.
9. Siska J.	89. Holesinsky A.
14. Krajcovic A.	91. Jackson R.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.	17. Vitalos M.
7. Hain S.	28. Kalman A.
4. Descheneau J.	98. Turansky A.
72. Linden T.	29. Chrenko T.
31. Lakatos D.	80. Hrnka T.
Line 4
77. Kupec S.	19. Sisik S.
92. Bubela M.	15. Carmichael E.
18. Kalis M.	11. Lass D.
93. Sop M.	21. Bajtek F.
	96. Molnar O.
Substitutes
30. Latkoczy S. (G)	31. Gadzhiev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
00:41, 1 - 0, Barron T. (G), Ferenc J. (A), Mikus J. (A2)
10:36, 2 - 0, Descheneau J. (G), Lakatos D. (A), Linden T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:38, 3 - 0, Descheneau J. (G), Linden T. (A),
03:38, 3 - 1, Turansky A. (G), Lacka J. (A), Pollock B. (A2)
09:03, 3 - 2, Stacha M. (G),
18:26, 4 - 2, Lakatos D. (G), Descheneau J. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:09, 5 - 2, Linden T. (G), Merkley R. (A), Lakatos D. (A2)

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 3.

Dukla Trenčín has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Nitra has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Dukla Trenčín could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Our forecast points to a victory for Dukla Trenčín in today's match, at odds of 2.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Dukla Trenčín has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:70 (averaging 3:3.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Dukla Trenčín against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 30:42 goals (averaging 3:4.2 per game).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 13.99% Dukla Trencin: 2.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Dukla Trencin	8	4	1	1	2	24:21	15
11	Nitra	9	1	1	1	6	22:33	6

Last Results with these Odds

HC Dukla Trenčín - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.22%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Nitra - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.77%, but this team recently wins 52% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dukla Trenčín
Slovak Extraliga
04.10.26	Prešov - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Spišská Nová Ves	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Zvolen - HC Dukla Trenčín	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Dukla Michalovce	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Liptovský Mikuláš - HC Dukla Trenčín	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWW
- HK Nitra
Champions League Ice Hockey
06.10.26	Fribourg-Gottéron - Nitra	6:1 ✺
Slovak Extraliga
04.10.26	Nitra - Zvolen	2:1 AET ✺
02.10.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	6:5 ✺
29.09.26	Nitra - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:5 ✺
27.09.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
07.02.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	2:3
28.12.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	3:2 OT
13.12.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:4
30.11.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:5
19.10.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Nitra	1:4
14.09.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:3 penalties
31.01.25	Nitra - HC Dukla Trenčín	0:4

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