Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 8

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Tipsport arena (Nitra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	Nitra		Zvolen

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.75	4.00
	1.53	4.75	4.60
	1.60	4.50	4.25
	1.55	4.93	3.87
	1.51	4.94	4.94	Watch
	1.53	4.85	3.80
	1.56	4.60	4.34
	1.51	4.70	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)	4.75 ↑ (4.35)	4.31 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nitra
59.4%

Draw
19.3%

Zvolen
21.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

21.2%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

22.5%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Zvolen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nitra that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvolen than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Nitra - Zvolen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Marinov M. (G)	1. Brezani P. (G)
44. Osburn Z.	8. Daloga M.
24. Mezei B.	48. Barcik S.
67. Paulovic M.	9. Indrasis M.
13. Kristof M.	19. Cassels C.
41. Timashov D.	24. Zuzin P.
Line 2
2. Baca M.	34. Fairbrother G.
16. Stacha M.	14. Romancik L.
39. Lacka J.	43. Macek M.
89. Holesinsky A.	88. Bartakovics A. R.
91. Jackson R.	42. Naus A.
Line 3
17. Vitalos M.	23. Kowalczyk D.
23. Botka O.	86. Brejcak D.
98. Turansky A.	92. Kolenic J.
29. Chrenko T.	10. Nemec R.
96. Molnar O.	89. Tkac D.
Line 4
11. Lass D.	44. Valach J.
15. Carmichael E.	11. Lasak J.
9. Kovac H.	47. Unterfranc R.
80. Hrnka T.	17. Kukos J.
21. Bajtek F.
Substitutes
31. Gadzhiev S. (G)	33. Klimes L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:36, 1 - 0, Kristof M. (G), Osburn Z. (A), Timashov D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:26, 1 - 1, Naus A. (G), Macek M. (A), Bartakovics A. R. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:51, 2 - 1, Jackson R. (G), Holesinsky A. (A), Osburn Z. (A2)

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 11th and 10th in the Promotion - Tipsport liga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nitra won 2.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

In this matchup, Nitra is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Nitra has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 81:72 (averaging 4.1:3.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nitra against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 32:36 goals (averaging 3.2:3.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
10	Nitra	12	3	2	1	6	33:36	14
11	Zvolen	12	2	2	1	7	24:39	11

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 10.44% Zvolen: 5.25%

Last Results with these Odds

Nitra - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 55.18%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
02.10.26	Dukla Michalovce - Nitra	6:5 ✺
29.09.26	Nitra - Liptovský Mikuláš	3:5 ✺
27.09.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	4:2 ✺
25.09.26	Nitra - MsHK Žilina	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Poprad - Nitra	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL
- HKm Zvolen
Slovak Extraliga
02.10.26	Zvolen - Prešov	3:2 penalties ✺
29.09.26	Spišská Nová Ves - Zvolen	5:0 ✺
27.09.26	Zvolen - HC Dukla Trenčín	1:3 ✺
25.09.26	Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava	1:6 ✺
20.09.26	Dukla Michalovce - Zvolen	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
01.03.26	Zvolen - Nitra	5:4 OT
23.01.26	Nitra - Zvolen	2:3 OT
03.01.26	Nitra - Zvolen	3:5
19.12.25	Zvolen - Nitra	0:5
18.11.25	Zvolen - Nitra	2:8
05.10.25	Nitra - Zvolen	3:2
14.02.25	Zvolen - Nitra	7:6 OT

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