Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 40

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport


	HC Dukla Trenčín		Slovan Bratislava

	1	X	2
	3.2	4.3	1.85
	3.2	4.1	1.91	Watch
	3.14	4.21	1.95	Watch
	3.1	4	1.85
	3.47	4.2	1.78
	3.15	3.85	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	4.11 ↓ (4.17)	1.87 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HC Dukla Trenčín
28.6%

Draw
22.3%

Slovan Bratislava
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

22.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

23.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HC Dukla Trenčín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Slovan Bratislava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Dukla Trenčín than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Slovan Bratislava than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

HC Dukla Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovan (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
80. Junca J. (G)	32. Janus J. (G)
8. Goljer A.	52. Acolatse S.
74. Hlavac M.	7. Fabus A.
4. Descheneau J.	73. Varga R.
15. Bellerive J.	69. Solensky S.
72. Safin O.	49. Takac S.
Line 2
79. Laurencik M.	82. Kralovic T.
37. Rajnoha E.	84. Zelenak V.
93. Bezuch J.	39. Pecararo L.
17. Stransky A.	92. Elson T.
90. Lapsansky A.	10. Dmowski R.
Line 3
33. Hatala A.	6. O'Connor R.
44. Hrenak M.	43. Maier P.
91. Krajc S.	83. Bakos M.
26. Svec J.	95. Peterek J.
35. Hudec D.	27. Bondra R.
Line 4
12. Reznicak K.	56. Licko F.
16. Becar S.	44. Petriska J.
14. Krajcovic A.	41. Jendek D.
18. Kalis M.	23. Luptak M.
88. Jakubec M.
Substitutes
34. Hrenak D. (G)	96. Andrisik P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
05:24, 0 - 1, Solensky S. (G), Takac S. (A),
07:20, 0 - 2, Pecararo L. (G), Dmowski R. (A), O'Connor R. (A2)
14:34, 1 - 2, Hudec D. (G), Krajc S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:28, 1 - 3, Varga R. (G), Takac S. (A), Dmowski R. (A2)
09:05, 1 - 4, Dmowski R. (G), Elson T. (A), Pecararo L. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:34, 1 - 5, Takac S. (G), Kralovic T. (A),
05:46, 1 - 6, Varga R. (G), Pecararo L. (A), Takac S. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Tipsport liga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 2.

Dukla Trenčín has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Slovan is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Slovan might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Slovan will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dukla Trenčín won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 58:66. (average 2.9:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Dukla Trenčín won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:42. (average 3.2:3.8).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Slovan Bratislava: 24.75% Dukla Trencin: 2.99%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Slovan Bratislava	9	6	0	1	2	32:22	19
7	Dukla Trencin	8	4	1	1	2	24:21	15

Last Results with these Odds

HC Dukla Trenčín - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.93%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Dukla Trenčín
Slovak Extraliga
16.01.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Poprad	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	MsHK Žilina - HC Dukla Trenčín	6:3 ✺
09.01.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Banská Bystrica	2:6 ✺
05.01.26	Zvolen - HC Dukla Trenčín	3:2 OT ✺
03.01.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - MsHK Žilina	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- HC Slovan Bratislava
Slovak Extraliga
16.01.26	Slovan Bratislava - MsHK Žilina	2:1 penalties ✺
11.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Slovan Bratislava	2:3 ✺
09.01.26	Prešov - Slovan Bratislava	1:3 ✺
05.01.26	Slovan Bratislava - MsHK Žilina	4:1 ✺
03.01.26	Slovan Bratislava - Banská Bystrica	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
26.12.25	Slovan Bratislava - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:1
12.12.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava	3:4 penalties
16.11.25	Slovan Bratislava - HC Dukla Trenčín	1:4
03.10.25	HC Dukla Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava	2:3 OT
14.02.25	Slovan Bratislava - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:4
07.01.25	Slovan Bratislava - HC Dukla Trenčín	2:5
22.12.24	HC Dukla Trenčín - Slovan Bratislava	2:4

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