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Current Win Probability
HC Plzeň 1929 37.1%
Draw 23.5%
Oceláři Třinec 39.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
37.3%
23.5%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.9%
25.1%
35%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HC Plzeň 1929 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Oceláři Třinec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HC Plzeň 1929 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oceláři Třinec than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
HC Plzeň 1929 - Oceláři Třinec Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
33. Ruzicka J. (G)
2. Mazanec M. (G)
2. MacPherson D.
55. Adamek M.
94. Rubins K.
52. Marincin M. (A)
17. Rohlik O.
43. Kurovsky D.
49. Simon D.
94. Nestrasil A. (A)
92. Teply M.
34. Kovarcik O.
Line 2
5. Jerabek J. (C)
76. Galvas J.
27. Robertson C.
64. Koch P.
18. Strnad L.
9. Kubiesa M.
42. Filip M. (A)
79. Hudacek L.
22. Mechura A.
56. Dano M.
Line 3
13. Merezhko I.
6. Musil D.
16. Cech A.
39. Petrovicky R.
63. Petman M.
27. Ruzicka Mart. (C)
23. Petman V.
87. Kovarcik M.
84. Schleiss J. (A)
96. Vozenilek D.
Line 4
3. Chromiak J.
66. Aubrecht D.
8. Malak D.
78. Chlan P.
14. Sedlacek I.
40. Roman M.
30. Lev J.
19. Hrehorcak P.
11. Katic D.
Substitutes
31. Malik N. (G)
1. Celko D. (G)
Coaches
. Veber J.
. Zabka B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
09:19, 0 - 1, Marincin M. (G), Ruzicka Mart. (A), Vozenilek D. (A2)
16:35, Kubiesa M. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:30, Vozenilek D. (2 min),
11:11, Kovarcik O. (2 min),
14:21, 0 - 2, Hudacek L. (G), Vozenilek D. (A), Galvas J. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 0)
01:17, 1 - 2, Filip M. (G), Mechura A. (A),
02:49, 2 - 2, Lev J. (G), Katic D. (A), Robertson C. (A2)
11:08, 3 - 2, Schleiss J. (G), Rubins K. (A), Ruzicka J. (A2)
14:35, 4 - 2, Jerabek J. (G), Filip M. (A), Strnad L. (A2)
15:19, (2 min),
16:55, Jerabek J. (2 min),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plzeň won 2.
In recent outings, Plzeň has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Třinec is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Confirmed absences for Třinec: Flynn O.
(Muscle Injury)
Marincin M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Plzeň: Malik N.
(Illness).
Doubtful / questionable for Třinec: Kacetl O.
(Illness).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plzeň has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 43:54 (averaging 2.2:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plzeň against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 23:21 goals (averaging 2.6:2.3 per game).
Czech Republic
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Ruzicka J. (G) 
MacPherson D. 
Rubins K. 
Marincin M. (A) 
Merezhko I. 
Petman M. 
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