Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	HIFK U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.6	1.58
	4.27	5.06	1.53	Watch
	5	4.6	1.4
	4.78	4.8	1.47
	3.3	4.3	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.48)	4.67 ↑ (4.34)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HIFK U20
21.8%

Draw
19.4%

Ilves U20
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

21.2%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

22.5%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HIFK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HIFK U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilves U20 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:32, 0 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Seppanen N. (A),
17:56, 1 - 1, Tallqvist R. (G), Gronholm E. (A), Puolanne A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:03, 2 - 1, Tuovinen A. (G), Karjalahti F. (A), Puttonen J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:12, 2 - 2, Tukio O. (G), Mottard P. (A), Melanen J. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01', 2 - 3, (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK U20 won 1.

HIFK U20 has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ilves U20 is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, HIFK U20 has had a series of home games.

Ilves U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Ilves U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, HIFK U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 49:37. (average 2.9:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, HIFK U20 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:16. (average 3.1:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IFK Helsinki U20	12	7	1	2	2	41:25	25
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
16.01.26	HIFK U20 - JYP U20	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	1:7 ✺
04.01.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	HIFK U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	1:2 penalties ✺
20.12.25	HIFK U20 - Lukko U20	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
04.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	4:5 OT ✺
03.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
13.09.25	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	3:2
01.11.24	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	5:2
14.09.24	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	1:2
08.03.24	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	3:1
08.12.23	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	2:0
25.11.23	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	2:3
15.10.22	HIFK U20 - Ilves U20	4:3

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