The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara U20 41.1%
Draw 21%
Ilves U20 37.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49%
20.4%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.3%
21.4%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tappara U20's form might have worsened.
Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tappara U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
04:36, 0 - 1, Viita F. (G), Poikela M. (A), Rinne O. (A2)
11:29, 0 - 2, Viita F. (G), Kuitunen O. (A), Liljeberg M. (A2)
15:43, 1 - 2, Saastamoinen R. (G), Jarventie E. (A), Louvanto L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 4)
02:05, 1 - 3, Rinne R. (G),
12:04, 2 - 3, Jarventie E. (G), Vaarala V. (A), Teuho-Markkola R. (A2)
13:09, 2 - 4, Zwikel M. (G), Poikela M. (A),
16:13, 2 - 5, Melanen J. (G), Viita F. (A), Karttu K. (A2)
17:57, 2 - 6, Melanen J. (G), Viita F. (A), Karttu K. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Tappara U20 is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara U20 has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 80:52 (averaging 4:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 48:26 goals (averaging 4.8:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Tappara U20
16
8
0
2
6
47:54
26
14
Ilves U20
15
6
1
1
7
53:60
21
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara U20 - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 48.99%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Ilves U20 - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 30.6%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.