Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday


	Tappara U20		Ilves U20

	1	X	2
	3.05	4.4	1.68
	3.17	4.18	1.88	Watch
	3.4	4.2	1.67
	3.74	4.4	1.66
	2.9	4.75	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.27)	4.39 ↑ (4.12)	1.73 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
27.6%

Draw
20.5%

Ilves U20
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

22.3%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

23.7%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tappara U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
13:48, 0 - 1, Melanen J. (G), Harkimo D. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
14:42, 0 - 2, Rinne R. (G), Poikela M. (A), Laitinen J. (A2)
17:07, 0 - 3, Myllyniemi M. (G), Savolainen N. (A), Laurell E. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
16:38, 0 - 4, Tukio O. (G), Laurell E. (A), Frolo J. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
10:47, 0 - 5, Rinne R. (G), Kuukasjarvi R. (A), Niskanen A. (A2)
14:13, 0 - 6, Laitinen J. (G), Rinne R. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
18:33, 1 - 6, Rantala J. (G), Mikkonen D. (A), Karvonen J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 3.

Tappara U20 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilves U20 is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ilves U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ilves U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 81:53. (average 4.1:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 53:29. (average 4.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20
10	Ilves U20	10	4	1	1	4	36:43	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Tappara U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:5 ✺
03.01.26	Lukko U20 - Tappara U20	1:3 ✺
20.12.25	JYP U20 - Tappara U20	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLWWL
- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
10.01.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:5 ✺
04.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	4:5 OT ✺
03.01.26	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	3:6 ✺
20.12.25	Ilves U20 - RoKi U20	4:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ilves U20 - SaiPa U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
03.12.25	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	4:3
18.10.25	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	2:3 penalties
28.02.25	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	2:4
21.02.25	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	8:2
14.12.24	Ilves U20 - Tappara U20	1:5
22.11.24	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	8:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.24	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	2:4

Upcoming Matches