Match Info

Date: 23 September 2021, Thursday


	HK Rīga		Tayfun

	1	X	2
	1.86	4.35	3	Watch
	1.8	4.2	3.5
	1.85	4.1	3.15
	1.78	4.1	3.3
	1.76	4.24	3.34
	1.75	4	3.25
	1.84	4.25	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.08)	4.18 ↑ (4.1)	3.28 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HK Rīga
50.4%

Draw
21.8%

Tayfun
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

22.1%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

17.3%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HK Rīga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HK Rīga's performance.

Tayfun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tayfun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HK Rīga than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HK Rīga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tayfun than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tayfun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HK Rīga - Tayfun Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Tayfun could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tayfun have a series of home games.

HK Rīga will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 21 head-to-head matches HK Rīga won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 55-60.

Including matches at home between the teams HK Rīga won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Rīga
MHL
22.09.21	HK Rīga - Tayfun	2:3 ✺
19.09.21	HK Rīga - Sakhalinskie Akuly	9:2 ✺
18.09.21	HK Rīga - Sakhalinskie Akuly	3:2 OT ✺
14.09.21	Amurskie Tigry - HK Rīga	2:5 ✺
14.09.21	Amurskie Tigry - HK Rīga	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWWW
- Tayfun Vladivostok
MHL
22.09.21	HK Rīga - Tayfun	2:3 ✺
15.09.21	Tayfun - MHC Spartak	2:4 ✺
13.09.21	Tayfun - MHC Spartak	3:2 ✺
10.09.21	Tayfun - Mikhaylov Academy	5:2 ✺
10.09.21	Tayfun - Mikhaylov Academy	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
22.09.21	HK Rīga - Tayfun	2:3
06.02.21	HK Rīga - Tayfun	2:1
05.02.21	HK Rīga - Tayfun	3:1
13.10.20	Tayfun - HK Rīga	0:4
12.10.20	Tayfun - HK Rīga	3:2
04.01.20	Tayfun - HK Rīga	4:3
03.01.20	Tayfun - HK Rīga	3:1

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