The best margin for this event is 11.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HPK 82.6%
Draw 11.6%
Kärpat 5.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
82.9%
11.8%
5.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Kärpat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 5.
HPK has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kärpat has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kärpat could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to HPK as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HPK has recorded 18 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 102:27 (averaging 5.1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HPK against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 61:14 goals (averaging 6.1:1.4 per game).