Match Info
SM-sarja U20Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday
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HPK U20 |
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TPS U20 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.58 |
4.40 |
3.45 |
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1.95 |
3.99 |
2.92 |
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2.39 |
3.99 |
2.39 |
 Watch |
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1.80 |
4.05 |
3.10 |
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1.90 |
4.05 |
3.09 |
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1.84 |
4.10 |
3.00 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.39) |
4.1 ↑
(3.99) |
2.99 ↑
(2.39) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
HPK U20
47.5% | Draw
22.2% | TPS U20
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HPK U20's performance.TPS U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TPS U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK U20 than the current prediction. (-11.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HPK U20 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TPS U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.HPK U20 - TPS U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 05:57, 1 - 0, Klima F. (G), Jussila N. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
- 17:49, 2 - 0, Fagerstrom V. (G), Klima F. (A), Lappalainen M. (A2)
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 12:21, 3 - 0, Kostjukovs K. (G), Seikkula E. (A),
- 14:07, 4 - 0, Fagerstrom V. (G), Huttunen R. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
- 17:16, 5 - 0, Laine P. (G), Makinen I. (A), Lehtonen O. (A2)
- 18:28, 6 - 0, Lappalainen M. (G), Kuusisto O. (A), Liski T. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 13:16, 6 - 1, Vuohijoki A. (G), Virkkunen V. (A), Vilhunen P. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 3.HPK U20 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).TPS U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.We predict that HPK U20 will win today's game, with odds of 2.35.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 51:68. (average 2.6:3.4).Including home matches between the teams, HPK U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 3.1:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | Hameenlinna U20 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 46:22 | 23 |
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| 11 | TPS U20 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 30:41 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
HPK U20 - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.
TPS U20 - the odds 2.39 are the expected chance of winning is 38.48%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-sarja U20 | | | 12.03.26 | TPS U20 - HPK U20 | 3:4 | | 11.03.26 | HPK U20 - TPS U20 | 4:2 | | 21.11.25 | HPK U20 - TPS U20 | 6:2 | | 04.09.25 | TPS U20 - HPK U20 | 4:1 | | 08.03.25 | TPS U20 - HPK U20 | 5:1 | | 08.12.24 | HPK U20 - TPS U20 | 1:2 | | 23.11.24 | HPK U20 - TPS U20 | 4:1 |
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