The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
TPS U20 32.2%
Draw 22.1%
Tappara U20 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
20.3%
54.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
22.5%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in TPS U20's performance.
Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tappara U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS U20 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
TPS U20 - Tappara U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
15:32, 1 - 0, Fugleberg P. (G), Uusikartano A. (A), Surlak O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:14, 2 - 0, Orelma P. (G), Surlak O. (A), Keinanen K. (A2)
19:34, 2 - 1, Jarventie E. (G), Vaarala V. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:49, 3 - 1, Vilhunen P. (G), Rantala O. (A),
18:27, 4 - 1, Pinomaki B. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS U20 won 2.
TPS U20 is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tappara U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tappara U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tappara U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tappara U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, TPS U20 has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 61:59 (averaging 3.1:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for TPS U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:29 goals (averaging 2.7:2.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Tappara U20
11
6
0
2
3
34:32
20
11
TPS U20
11
3
0
4
4
30:41
13
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara U20 - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.4%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
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