The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartford Wolf Pack 38.3%
Draw 22.6%
Providence Bruins 39.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.2%
21.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48%
23.2%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hartford Wolf Pack's form might have worsened.
Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Providence Bruins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hartford Wolf Pack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Providence Bruins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hartford Wolf Pack - Providence Bruins Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Reimer J. (G)
34. Zajicek S. (G)
76. Aspinall N.
94. Biasca A.
88. Battaglia J.
18. Bisson T. P.
42. Chmelar J.
11. Duran R.
25. Cholowski D.
21. Eyssimont M.
2. Del Gaizo M. (A)
24. Gallagher T.
45. Fortescue D.
16. Gaunce B. (A)
4. Frisch E.
12. Halonen B.
9. Gawdin G. (A)
43. Harris J.
24. Greentree L.
49. Ivan I.
6. Iorio V.
61. Jokiharju H.
26. Lamb B.
10. Locmelis D.
18. McConnell-Barker B.
29. Merisier-Ortiz C.
15. Nachbaur J.
17. Mutter N.
13. Parssinen J.
75. Reichel L.
44. Robertson M.
8. Schmaltz J.
28. Roobroeck D.
46. Steeves A. (A)
5. Terrance C.
6. Sweezey B. (C)
67. Vanroboys L.
9. Tattle R.
Substitutes
35. Tung C. (G)
31. Patera J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:57, 1 - 0, Greentree L. (G), Gawdin G. (A),
19:18, 2 - 0, Terrance C. (G), Gawdin G. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 2.
Hartford has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Providence have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hartford has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:66 (averaging 2.2:3.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hartford against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 23:32 goals (averaging 2.3:3.2 per game).
Outrights of AHL for now
Providence Bruins: 3.1% Hartford Wolf Pack: 1.17%
Last Results with these Odds
Hartford Wolf Pack - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.15%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.