Match Info

AHL

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday

Location: Giant Center (Hershey, PA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Hershey Bears		Providence Bruins

	1	X	2
	3.1	4.2	1.83	Watch
	3.05	4.15	1.96
	3	3.98	1.99
	3.09	4.14	1.99	Watch
	3.1	4	1.91
	3.07	4.13	1.99	Watch
	2.95	4.25	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.2)	4.12 ↓ (4.2)	1.93 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hershey Bears
30.1%

Draw
22.3%

Providence Bruins
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

22.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

21.5%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Providence Bruins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hershey will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Providence will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hershey (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Stevenson C. (G)	34. Zajicek S. (G)
7. Belpedio L. (A)	47. Abate J.
43. Bitten S.	17. Bancroft D.
5. Chesley R.	38. Brown P. (C)
92. Clarke G.	42. Brunet F.
20. Cristall A.	11. Duran R.
19. Cruikshank G.	26. Farinacci J.
48. Gucciardi D.	24. Gallagher T.
23. Leason B.	72. Harrison B.
15. Luypen J.	15. Johansson L.
13. Mateiko E.	43. Locmelis D.
47. McDonald J.	22. Lysell F.
10. Miroshnichenko I.	10. Merkulov G. (A)
32. Nachbaur J.	21. Poitras M.
27. Ness A. (C)	14. Riedell W.
40. Protas I.	8. Schmaltz J.
12. Rybinski H.	6. Sweezey B. (A)
6. Schueneman C. (A)	27. Tufte R.
37. Smith D.	86. Wolanin C.
Substitutes
35. Gibson M. (G)	30. DiPietro M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
07:02, 0 - 1, Merkulov G. (G), Brown P. (A), Brunet F. (A2)
09:15, 0 - 2, Locmelis D. (G), Lysell F. (A), Brunet F. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:42, 1 - 2, Leason B. (G), Cristall A. (A), Stevenson C. (A2)
10:58, 1 - 3, Poitras M. (G), Merkulov G. (A), Brown P. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
10:30, 1 - 4, Gallagher T. (G),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Hershey has had a series of home games.

Recently, Providence has had a series of away games.

Providence is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 45:44. (average 2.3:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 2.2:2.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Providence Bruins - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.87%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hershey Bears
AHL
10.12.25	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms	3:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:4 ✺
30.11.25	Hershey Bears - Laval Rocket	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLLW
- Providence Bruins
AHL
10.12.25	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	1:3 ✺
07.12.25	Providence Bruins - Springfield Thunderbirds	1:3 ✺
06.12.25	Springfield Thunderbirds - Providence Bruins	3:4 OT ✺
02.12.25	Laval Rocket - Providence Bruins	4:1 ✺
30.11.25	Belleville Senators - Providence Bruins	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
10.12.25	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	1:3
01.11.25	Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears	0:2
05.01.25	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	5:1
04.01.25	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	4:3 penalties
27.10.24	Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears	1:2
25.10.24	Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears	1:2
26.03.24	Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins	1:4

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