Match Info

GERMANY: DEL2 - ROUND 31

Date: 28 December 2022, Wednesday


	Heilbronner Falken		Crimmitschau

	1	X	2
	1.53	5	4.2
	1.7	4.75	3.6
	1.68	4.75	3.45
	1.54	4.7	4.4
	1.48	4.64	3.99
	1.62	5	3.25
	1.49	4.95	4.8
	1.54	4.7	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)	4.81 ↑ (3.95)	4.01 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heilbronner Falken
58.2%

Draw
19%

Crimmitschau
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

22.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

19.9%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heilbronner Falken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heilbronner Falken's performance.

Crimmitschau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crimmitschau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heilbronner Falken than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heilbronner Falken that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crimmitschau than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crimmitschau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Heilbronner Falken - Crimmitschau Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Heilbronner Falken will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Crimmitschau will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heilbronner Falken won 3.

Heilbronner Falken is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Crimmitschau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heilbronner Falken will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 41 head-to-head matches Heilbronner Falken won 21 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 20 matches and goals 141-153.

Including matches at home between the teams Heilbronner Falken won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 73-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heilbronner Falken
German DEL2
26.12.22	Landshut Cannibals - Heilbronner Falken	4:3 ✺
23.12.22	Heilbronner Falken - Dresdner Eislöwen	1:4 ✺
18.12.22	Lausitzer Füchse - Heilbronner Falken	5:1 ✺
16.12.22	Heilbronner Falken - Kaufbeuren	3:2 ✺
11.12.22	Kaufbeuren - Heilbronner Falken	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- ETC Crimmitschau
German DEL2
26.12.22	Kaufbeuren - Crimmitschau	6:1 ✺
23.12.22	Crimmitschau - Landshut Cannibals	4:1 ✺
18.12.22	VER Selb - Crimmitschau	2:6 ✺
16.12.22	Crimmitschau - Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim	0:4 ✺
11.12.22	Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim - Crimmitschau	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
06.11.22	Crimmitschau - Heilbronner Falken	3:4 OT
02.10.22	Heilbronner Falken - Crimmitschau	4:6
28.01.22	Crimmitschau - Heilbronner Falken	6:1
28.12.21	Heilbronner Falken - Crimmitschau	5:1
05.11.21	Crimmitschau - Heilbronner Falken	1:2 penalties
01.10.21	Heilbronner Falken - Crimmitschau	1:5
26.03.21	Heilbronner Falken - Crimmitschau	3:1

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