Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday


	Hors Podolsk		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	2.17	4.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.18)	4.1 ↓ (4.3)	2.6 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hors Podolsk
42.3%

Draw
22.4%

Ermak Angarsk
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

21.6%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

21.7%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hors Podolsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hors Podolsk than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:56, 0 - 1, Kovalenko D. (G), Kovalenko K. (A), Asadullin S. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:53, 1 - 1, Kuznetsov Y. (G), Ilyasov S. (A), Roshchin V. (A2)
12:11, 2 - 1, Ilyasov S. (G), Yuttsev Y. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
09:01, 3 - 1, Lazar K. (G),
19:58, 4 - 1, Kuznetsov Y. (G), Tsevalyuk N. (A),

Preview

Recent matches Hors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hors won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:17 (average 4:3.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Hors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 4:3.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hors Podolsk
RHL
26.10.24	Hors Podolsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
17.10.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Hors Podolsk	2:0 ✺
16.10.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Hors Podolsk	1:4 ✺
13.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	2:1 OT ✺
12.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
26.10.24	Hors Podolsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
10.10.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Ermak Angarsk	4:5 penalties ✺
09.10.24	Metallurg Cherepovets - Ermak Angarsk	2:4 ✺
06.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Ermak Angarsk	0:1 OT ✺
05.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
26.10.24	Hors Podolsk - Ermak Angarsk	2:3
24.12.23	Hors Podolsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:5 OT
23.12.23	Hors Podolsk - Ermak Angarsk	6:3
05.12.23	Ermak Angarsk - Hors Podolsk	3:4 OT
04.12.23	Ermak Angarsk - Hors Podolsk	3:4 OT

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