Match Info

RUSSIA: NMHL

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Hors Podolsk		Polyot Rybinsk

	1	X	2
	1.32	6.55	5.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (2.38)	6.55 ↑ (4.35)	5.54 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hors Podolsk
69.5%

Draw
14%

Polyot Rybinsk
16.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

20.9%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

20.6%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hors Podolsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hors Podolsk's performance.

Polyot Rybinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polyot Rybinsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hors Podolsk than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hors Podolsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polyot Rybinsk than the current prediction. (+23.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polyot Rybinsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (4 - 1)
02:22, 1 - 0, Bondar N. (G), Zinovyev I. (A),
07:18, 2 - 0, Zinoviev I. (G), Kuznetsov Y. (A), Bondar N. (A2)
12:31, 2 - 1, Bakharev Daniil (G), Kochenyovsky R. (A),
13:41, 3 - 1, Yuttsev Y. (G), Gladkikh Y. (A),
18:34, 4 - 1, Yuttsev Y. (G), Lysak K. (A), Lazar K. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
02:03, 4 - 2, Kochenyovsky R. (G), Plokhov K. (A), Zashcherinsky N. (A2)
08:25, 5 - 2, Uteshev V. (G), Serzhan D. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hors won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Hors could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Our prediction for today's Hors to win the game is with odds 2.38.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hors won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 29:29 (average 2.6:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:14 (average 2.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hors Podolsk
RHL
22.03.25	Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT ✺
19.03.25	Hors Podolsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	6:5 OT ✺
18.03.25	Hors Podolsk - Metallurg Cherepovets	7:6 penalties ✺
09.03.25	Ermak Angarsk - Hors Podolsk	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Ermak Angarsk - Hors Podolsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWL
- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
22.03.25	Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT ✺
19.03.25	Ermak Angarsk - Polyot Rybinsk	3:1 ✺
18.03.25	Ermak Angarsk - Polyot Rybinsk	5:1 ✺
12.03.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Bryansk	6:4 ✺
11.03.25	Polyot Rybinsk - Bryansk	4:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
22.03.25	Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk	4:5 OT
13.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	2:1 OT
12.10.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
05.09.24	Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk	3:2 OT
RHL
15.03.24	Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk	1:2 OT
10.03.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	3:0
09.03.24	Polyot Rybinsk - Hors Podolsk	2:1 OT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polyot Rybinsk
RHL
01.11.26	Leningradets - Polyot Rybinsk	✺
31.10.26	Leningradets - Polyot Rybinsk	✺

Hors Podolsk - Polyot Rybinsk