The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ilves 61.5%
Draw 19.9%
TPS 18.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.4%
20.1%
17.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.2%
21.2%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (4 - 2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Ilves could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, TPS has had a run of games away from home.
Ilves carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ilves has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 64:45 (averaging 3.2:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ilves against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 30:21 goals (averaging 3:2.1 per game).