Match Info

FINLAND: SM-SARJA U20 - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 12 January 2023, Thursday


	Ilves U20		Koovee U20

	1	X	2
	2.05	5.3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.6)	5.3 ↓ (5.35)	2.1 ↓ (2.95)

The best margin for this event is 15.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilves U20
42.3%

Draw
16.4%

Koovee U20
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

16.2%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

14.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilves U20's form might have worsened.

Koovee U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Koovee U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilves U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Koovee U20 than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Koovee U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves U20 won 0.

Recent matches Ilves U20 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Koovee U20 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Ilves U20 have a series of guest games.

Ilves U20 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ilves U20 won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 39-49.

Including matches at home between the teams Ilves U20 won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-21.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilves U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
07.01.23	SaPKo U20 - Ilves U20	1:2 ✺
06.01.23	HPK U20 - Ilves U20	5:3 ✺
17.12.22	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20	4:1 ✺
16.12.22	Ilves U20 - SaPKo U20	3:0 ✺
10.12.22	RoKi U20 - Ilves U20	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWW
- Koovee U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
07.01.23	Ketterä U20 - Koovee U20	2:5 ✺
06.01.23	SaPKo U20 - Koovee U20	0:2 ✺
16.12.22	Kiekko-Espoo U20 B - Koovee U20	3:2 ✺
10.12.22	Koovee U20 - TuTo U20	4:2 ✺
09.12.22	Koovee U20 - SaiPa U20	5:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.12.22	Koovee U20 - Ilves U20	4:1
28.09.22	Ilves U20 - Koovee U20	1:2
03.03.22	Koovee U20 - Ilves U20	7:3
19.02.22	Ilves U20 - Koovee U20	2:4
09.02.22	Koovee U20 - Ilves U20	4:0
11.12.21	Ilves U20 - Koovee U20	5:3
15.10.21	Ilves U20 - Koovee U20	6:5 OT

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