The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mikkelin Jukurit U20 27.8%
Draw 21.1%
Ilves U20 51.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
23.5%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
22.9%
43.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mikkelin Jukurit U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mikkelin Jukurit U20's form might have worsened.
Ilves U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilves U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Jukurit U20 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mikkelin Jukurit U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves U20 than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Ilves U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
04:43, 1 - 0, Mutka J. (G), Peltoranta A. (A), Fisk J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:14, 1 - 1, Laurell E. (G), Melanen J. (A), Hietanen J. (A2)
07:25, 1 - 2, Karttu K. (G), Poikela M. (A), Kuitunen O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:10, 2 - 2, Frilander J. (G), Valojarvi V. (A), Baggstrom R. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Mottard P. (Penalty Shot),
1, Frilander J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Harkimo D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Baggstrom R. (Penalty Shot),
3, Liljeberg M. (Penalty Shot),
3, Kinnunen O. (Penalty Shot),
4, Laurell E. (Penalty Shot),
4, Mutka J. (Penalty Shot),
5, Heikkinen I. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jukurit U20 won 3.
Jukurit U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ilves U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Ilves U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Jukurit U20 has had a series of away games.
Recently, Ilves U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Jukurit U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 67:53. (average 3.5:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Jukurit U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 42:27. (average 3.8:2.5).
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