Match Info

MHL

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Irbis Kazan		Omskye Yastreby

	1	X	2
	3.06	4.28	1.99	Watch
	2.89	4.03	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.75)	4.16 ↓ (4.7)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irbis Kazan
31.3%

Draw
22.4%

Omskye Yastreby
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

19.9%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

18.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irbis Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Omskye Yastreby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irbis Kazan than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irbis Kazan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omskye Yastreby than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
72. Konovalov M. (G)	31. Ivchenko D. (G)
16. Istomin D.	6. Stepanov S. (A)
77. Gainullin I.	22. Moiseyev M.
10. Gayev V. (A)	23. Levchenko L.
15. Kamalov A.	10. Kharionov N.
11. Gimayev S.	12. Korzin V.
Line 2
57. Aibatov D.	67. Mudrik Y.
91. Dulnev A. (A)	4. Chernochub P.
19. Onishko N.	27. Kuryanov A.
93. Khusayenov R.	73. Kazantsev R. (C)
94. Sakhapov T. (C)	56. Trofimchuk Y.
Line 3
4. Khatibullin S.	50. Mozzhukhin V.
81. Fazlov M.	33. Zavadsky A.
97. Buzayev K.	87. Burlaka G.
92. Bokarev I.	18. Laman R.
17. Kalimullin A.	30. Sklokin M.
Line 4
64. Nikitin K.	2. Yurchuk A.
18. Potapov Y.	21. Grigoryev I.
21. Tsaregorodtsev S.	95. Fiskov D.
44. Antonov Y.	93. Moruzhov D. (A)
	98. Safin R.
Substitutes
1. Grigoryev G. (G)	55. Yunin I. (G)
47. Kutuzov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
18:15, 1 - 0, Khusayenov R. (G), Sakhapov T. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:33, 1 - 1, Laman R. (G), Burlaka G. (A),
14:30, 2 - 1, Sakhapov T. (G), Dulnev A. (A), Gayev V. (A2)
19:06, 3 - 1, Khusayenov R. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 4.

Irbis has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Omskye Yastreby is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Omskye Yastreby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Omskye Yastreby could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Irbis won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 59:45. (average 3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Irbis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 3.6:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Omskye Yastreby - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.2%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Irbis Kazan
MHL
20.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby	4:2 ✺
17.11.25	Irbis Kazan - AKM Novomoskovsk	7:1 ✺
14.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Loko-76	5:3 ✺
08.11.25	Avto - Irbis Kazan	2:5 ✺
06.11.25	Avto - Irbis Kazan	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW
- Omskye Yastreby
MHL
20.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby	4:2 ✺
13.11.25	Snezhnye Barsy - Omskye Yastreby	3:5 ✺
08.11.25	Omskye Yastreby - Tyumensky Legion	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Omskye Yastreby - Molot Perm	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	Omskye Yastreby - Loko-76	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
20.11.25	Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby	4:2
02.12.24	Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby	3:2 penalties
01.12.24	Irbis Kazan - Omskye Yastreby	4:0
01.11.24	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	4:2
31.10.24	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	2:4
20.02.24	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	2:4
19.02.24	Omskye Yastreby - Irbis Kazan	1:0 penalties

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