Match Info

World Championship

Date: 19 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: BCF-Arena (Fribourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN+
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Box Go, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 3
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2
Usa	NHL Network
World	IIHF TV


	Italy		Norway

	1	X	2
	7	5.75	1.35	Watch
	7.35	4.8	1.43	Watch
	6.4	5.3	1.41
	6.82	5.55	1.38	Watch
	5.5	5	1.4
	6.54	5.41	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.6 ↑ (5)	5.3 ↑ (5)	1.4 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Italy
14.4%

Draw
17.9%

Norway
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

19.3%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Italy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Italy than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norway than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Norway, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Italy - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Norway (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5, OT - Norway (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Fadani D. (G) Kloten	40. Haukeland H. (G) Straubing Tigers
37. Pietroniro P. (A) Kladno	43. Krogdahl M. (A)
55. Zanatta L. Val Pusteria	49. Kasastul C. (A) Frisk Asker
73. Mansueto N. Sierre	22. Ronnild M. Storhamar
13. Bradley M. Bolzano	37. Vikingstad M. Eisbaren Berlin
88. De Luca T. Ambri-Piotta	17. Salsten E.
Line 2
90. Di Perna D. Bolzano	4. Johannesen J. Pelicans Lahti
53. Trivellato A. (C) Schwenninger	72. Solberg S. Anaheim Ducks
71. Zanetti M. Lugano	26. Elvsveen P. Stavanger
67. Frycklund M. Val Pusteria	71. Bakke Olsen E. Linkoping
18. Saracino N. Val Pusteria	13. Vesterheim P. Malmo
Line 3
44. Gios G. Asiago	54. Hurrod S. Storhamar
10. Spornberger P. Iserlohn Roosters	29. Ostby K. Stavanger
7. Segafredo A. Zurich	27. Martinsen A. (C) Storhamar
9. Mantenuto D. Bolzano	44. Koblar T.
93. Frigo L. (A) Bolzano	20. Pettersen E. Djurgarden
Line 4
49. Nitz G. Hameenlinna	47. Danielsen A. Valerenga
17. Buono C. Gherdeina	24. Berglund J. Storhamar
46. Deluca I. Val Pusteria	19. Salsten H. Djurgarden
19. Misley B. Bolzano	12. Steen N. Syracuse Crunch
22. Mantinger M. Val Pusteria
Substitutes
30. Smith J. (G) Angers	30. Normann T. (G) Frolunda
	8. Oby-Olsen M. Farjestad
Coaches
. Jalonen J.	. Thoresen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:53, Salsten E. (2 min),
11:32, 0 - 1, Bakke Olsen E. (G), Krogdahl M. (A), Oby-Olsen M. (A2)
19:05, Di Perna D. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:58, Trivellato A. (2 min),
06:58, Elvsveen P. (2 min),
08:41, Solberg S. (2 min),
11:40, 0 - 2, Steen N. (G), Salsten H. (A),
13:04, Saracino N. (2 min),
15:40, Martinsen A. (2 min),
18:51, 0 - 3, Kasastul C. (G), Oby-Olsen M. (A), Krogdahl M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:21, Salsten E. (2 min),
15:28, 0 - 4, Koblar T. (G), Martinsen A. (A), Pettersen E. (A2)

Preview

Recent form of Italy has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norway has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Italy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Norway is the team to beat.

There will not play in Italy: Furlong C. (Off the roster)

There will not play in Norway: Kopperstad V. (Off the roster) Olsen T. (Off the roster)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 1:4.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Italy hockey
IIHF World Championship
17.05.26	Italy - Slovakia	1:4 ✺
16.05.26	Italy - Canada	0:6 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
12.05.26	Italy - Great Britain	3:5 ✺
10.05.26	Italy - Great Britain	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Great Britain - Italy	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL
- Norway hockey
IIHF World Championship
17.05.26	Norway - Slovenia	4:0 ✺
16.05.26	Slovakia - Norway	2:1 ✺
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.05.26	Latvia - Norway	4:3 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Latvia - Norway	3:2 OT ✺
01.05.26	Norway - Hungary	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World Championship
23.05.21	Norway - Italy	4:1
18.05.19	Italy - Norway	1:7
Winter Olympic Games - Ice Hockey
02.09.16	Norway - Italy	4:1
IIHF World Championship
10.05.14	Italy - Norway	0:3
09.05.12	Norway - Italy	6:2

Italy - Norway: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide