Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	JYP U20		HIFK U20

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.96	2.21
	2.68	4	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.69)	3.98 ↑ (3.97)	2.18 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
34.8%

Draw
23%

HIFK U20
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

23%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

22.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

HIFK U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

JYP U20 - HIFK U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
13:01, 0 - 1, Tuovinen A. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:09, 1 - 1, Sinivuori E. (G), Vilander V. (A),
15:43, 2 - 1, Tiilikainen J. (Penalty Shot),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
07:55, 3 - 1, Keltikangas O. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 3.

JYP U20 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

HIFK U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:68. (average 2.7:3.8).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 2.8:3.9).

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK U20 - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.92%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.25	Tappara U20 - JYP U20	4:3 ✺
20.09.25	JYP U20 - Mikkelin Jukurit U20	3:6 ✺
13.09.25	RoKi U20 - JYP U20	2:3 penalties ✺
06.09.25	JYP U20 - Ässät U20	2:3 ✺
05.09.25	JYP U20 - KooKoo U20	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWLL
- HIFK U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
21.09.25	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
20.09.25	HIFK U20 - Ässät U20	4:3 ✺
13.09.25	Ilves U20 - HIFK U20	3:2 ✺
06.09.25	HIFK U20 - Kärpät U20	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	HIFK U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
01.03.25	HIFK U20 - JYP U20	3:4 penalties
12.10.24	JYP U20 - HIFK U20	5:2
04.11.23	JYP U20 - HIFK U20	1:2
14.10.23	HIFK U20 - JYP U20	2:4
18.02.23	JYP U20 - HIFK U20	3:7
07.01.23	HIFK U20 - JYP U20	1:2
02.09.22	HIFK U20 - JYP U20	3:2 penalties

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