Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	JYP U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	1.85	4.2	2.65
	2	4.02	2.81
	1.99	4.23	2.87	Watch
	1.91	4	2.88
	2.01	3.98	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)	4.09 ↑ (4.06)	2.82 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP U20
46.1%

Draw
22%

Kärpät U20
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

22.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Kärpät U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP U20 than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

JYP U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
03:50, 1 - 0, Keltikangas O. (G), Vilander V. (A), Immonen T. (A2)
11:46, 2 - 0, Koskela L. (G), Keltikangas O. (A), Ervasti A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:46, 3 - 0, Vilander V. (G), Ervasti A. (A), Immonen T. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:41, 4 - 0, Immonen T. (G), Vilander V. (A), Keltikangas O. (A2)
18:12, 5 - 0, Immonen T. (G), Ilvonen E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 3.

JYP U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kärpät U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kärpät U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP U20 won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 36:67. (average 1.8:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:26. (average 2:2.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
13	Jyvaskyla U20	9	3	1	1	4	27:31	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
26.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - JYP U20	2:6 ✺
20.02.26	TPS U20 - JYP U20	4:5 penalties ✺
14.02.26	JYP U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	4:2 ✺
13.02.26	SaiPa U20 - JYP U20	2:5 ✺
31.01.26	JYP U20 - HPK U20	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWWL
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
20.02.26	Kärpät U20 - RoKi U20	5:1 ✺
14.02.26	Kärpät U20 - Jokerit U20	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Kärpät U20	3:2 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Kärpät U20 - Pelicans U20	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.01.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	2:3
17.10.25	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	1:0
10.10.25	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	0:5
28.02.25	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	2:3 OT
13.12.24	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	4:1
21.11.24	JYP U20 - Kärpät U20	2:1
04.10.24	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	4:1

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