Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Tappara U20		Kärpät U20

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.97	3.45
	1.71	4.42	3.64	Watch
	1.67	4.2	3.6
	1.66	4.33	3.79
	1.76	4.3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	4.24 ↓ (4.33)	3.52 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara U20
53.2%

Draw
21.2%

Kärpät U20
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

21.3%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

24.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kärpät U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät U20 than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:38, 0 - 1, Blazek V. (G), Multas R. (A), Pinola E. (A2)
17:04, 1 - 1, Mikkonen D. (G), Jarventie M. (A), Kotajarvi J. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:41, 2 - 1, Karvonen J. (G), Rajala J. (A), Selin K. (A2)
07:43, 3 - 1, Louvanto L. (G), Katolicky S. (A), Jarventie M. (A2)
19:16, 4 - 1, Rajala J. (G), Lehtosaari R. (A), Katolicky S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
10:29, 5 - 1, Vanhatalo V. (G),
15:30, 6 - 1, Jarventie E. (G), Kotajarvi J. (A), Louvanto L. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Tappara U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tappara U20 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 80:57. (average 4:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tappara U20 won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:26. (average 4.4:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Karpat U20	12	5	3	0	4	40:35	21
8	Tappara U20	11	6	0	2	3	34:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara U20 - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 53.85%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.01.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Tappara U20	1:5 ✺
16.01.26	Tappara U20 - Ilves U20	1:6 ✺
10.01.26	Tappara U20 - Kiekko-Espoo U20	2:4 ✺
09.01.26	Tappara U20 - KooKoo U20	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	HIFK U20 - Tappara U20	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLLW
- Kärpät U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
23.01.26	Ilves U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT ✺
16.01.26	RoKi U20 - Kärpät U20	2:7 ✺
10.01.26	Kärpät U20 - SaiPa U20	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Kärpät U20 - JYP U20	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Ässät U20 - Kärpät U20	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
29.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	5:2
28.11.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	4:5
22.11.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:1
16.03.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	2:7
15.03.25	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	6:1
12.03.25	Kärpät U20 - Tappara U20	3:1
02.11.24	Tappara U20 - Kärpät U20	4:3 OT

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