Match Info

WCH U20 IB

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	IIHF TV


	Japan U20		Italy U20

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.15	2.5
	2.13	4.33	2.58
	3.27	4.64	1.77	Watch
	2.19	4.4	2.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.95)	4.38 ↓ (4.6)	2.36 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan U20
38.6%

Draw
21.5%

Italy U20
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

19.6%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Japan U20's form might have worsened.

Italy U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy U20's recent form is better than expected.

Japan U20 - Italy U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
04:08, 0 - 1, De Luca J. (G), Meneghetti R. (A), Gesumaria A. (A2)
15:20, 1 - 1, Nakaya S. (G), Seki R. (A), Miura H. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
06:01, 2 - 1, Nakaya S. (G), Seki R. (A), Miura H. (A2)
07:57, 3 - 1, Odermatt D. (G), Hifumi S. (A),
12:36, 4 - 1, Miura H. (G), Daikuhura R. (A), Seki R. (A2)
19:52, 5 - 1, Ibe T. (G), Takashima Y. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Japan U20 won 2.

Japan U20 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Japan U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 3.2:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan U20 hockey
IIHF World U20 Championship IB
09.12.25	Japan U20 - Poland U20	1:2 ✺
08.12.25	Estonia U20 - Japan U20	3:4 penalties ✺
17.01.25	Japan U20 - Ukraine U20	2:7 ✺
16.01.25	Italy U20 - Japan U20	4:7 ✺
14.01.25	Japan U20 - Poland U20	7:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWW
- Italy U20 hockey
IIHF World U20 Championship IB
09.12.25	Italy U20 - Lithuania U20	2:4 ✺
08.12.25	Poland U20 - Italy U20	4:2 ✺
17.01.25	Italy U20 - Estonia U20	4:3 ✺
16.01.25	Italy U20 - Japan U20	4:7 ✺
14.01.25	Ukraine U20 - Italy U20	6:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

IIHF World U20 Championship IB
16.01.25	Italy U20 - Japan U20	4:7
12.12.22	Japan U20 - Italy U20	2:3 OT
14.12.18	Italy U20 - Japan U20	4:3 OT
Friendly International Ice Hockey
07.12.16	Italy U20 - Japan U20	1:3
06.12.16	Italy U20 - Japan U20	7:1
IIHF World U20 Championship IB
10.12.13	Italy U20 - Japan U20	4:3

Japan U20 - Italy U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide