The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpat 22.3%
Draw 20.6%
TPS 57.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.4%
20.1%
53.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
21.4%
50.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpat than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpat, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for TPS, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:20, 0 - 1, Marjatsalo A. (G), Kotilainen F. (A),
08:52, 0 - 2, Kahkonen P. (G), McCutcheon A. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpat won 1.
Kärpat has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
TPS has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
TPS carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kärpat has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:54 (averaging 2.5:2.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpat against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 35:27 goals (averaging 3.2:2.5 per game).
Watch
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