Match Info

EUROPE: ALPS HOCKEY LEAGUE - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Kitzbühel		Fassa

	1	X	2
	1.2	6.25	8.25
	1.18	6.55	8.95
	1.2	5.7	8.5
	1.2	7.9	10.34
	1.18	7.2	9.6
	1.17	6.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.73)	6.67 ↑ (4.33)	9.44 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitzbühel
76.7%

Draw
13.7%

Fassa
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

21.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

20.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitzbühel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kitzbühel's performance.

Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fassa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kitzbühel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fassa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Kitzbühel - Fassa Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kitzbühel will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 4.

Kitzbühel is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fassa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kitzbühel could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kitzbühel is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Kitzbühel to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Kitzbühel won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 84-72.

Including matches at home between the teams Kitzbühel won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 45-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
15.02.24	KAC II - Kitzbühel	1:6 ✺
03.02.24	Kitzbühel - KAC II	6:1 ✺
01.02.24	EHC Lustenau - Kitzbühel	6:4 ✺
25.01.24	Kitzbühel - Unterland Cavaliers	4:3 penalties ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLWW
- Sportiva Hockey Club Fassa
Alps Hockey League
03.02.24	Fassa - EHC Lustenau	6:7 ✺
27.01.24	Unterland Cavaliers - Fassa	7:5 ✺
25.01.24	Fassa - KAC II	5:2 ✺
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6 ✺
18.01.24	KAC II - Fassa	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
20.01.24	Fassa - Kitzbühel	4:6
30.12.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:0
25.11.23	Fassa - Kitzbühel	7:3
02.03.23	Fassa - Kitzbühel	1:3
28.02.23	Kitzbühel - Fassa	4:2
26.11.22	Fassa - Kitzbühel	3:6
24.09.22	Kitzbühel - Fassa	6:3

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