Match Info

Auroraliiga Women

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Olvi Areena (Kuopio)


	KalPa		Kärpat

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.05	2.65
	2.1	4.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.05)	4.15 ↑ (4.05)	2.55 ↓ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa
43.2%

Draw
21.6%

Kärpat
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.9%

22.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

24.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kärpat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpat than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
07:29, 1 - 0, Sneck V. (G), Oksanen N. (A), Keinonen M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:28, 1 - 1, Lampinen M. (G), Waananen S. (A),
18:59, 2 - 1, Oksanen N. (G), Keinonen M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 3.

Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.

Recently, Kärpat has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 85:42. (average 4.3:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 33:16. (average 3.7:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Karpat W	10	0	0	0	10	12:36	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa Hockey Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
20.12.25	Kuortane - KalPa	6:1 ✺
07.12.25	KalPa - HPK	1:2 OT ✺
30.11.25	HIFK - KalPa	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	4:1 ✺
23.11.25	KalPa - HPK	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kärpat Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
30.11.25	Kärpat - TPS	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Kärpat - Ilves	2:5 ✺
23.11.25	Kärpat - Kuortane	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Kärpat - HPK	0:6 ✺
16.11.25	Ilves - Kärpat	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
02.11.25	Kärpat - KalPa	3:2 penalties
01.11.25	KalPa - Kärpat	2:3 penalties
13.09.25	Kärpat - KalPa	1:2 penalties
26.01.25	Kärpat - KalPa	1:3
18.01.25	KalPa - Kärpat	4:1
26.10.24	Kärpat - KalPa	3:5
05.10.24	KalPa - Kärpat	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kärpat Women
Finnish Liiga Hockey Women
24.10.26	TPS - Kärpat	✺

KalPa - Kärpat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide