Match Info

SM-sarja U20

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	KalPa U20		Lukko U20

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.20	2.15
	2.27	4.02	2.40
	2.25	4.43	2.4	Watch
	2.20	3.95	2.35
	2.26	4.05	2.39
	2.23	4.10	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.17)	4.13 ↑ (3.93)	2.34 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa U20
40%

Draw
21.7%

Lukko U20
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

22.8%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

25.1%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Lukko U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KalPa U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lukko U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

KalPa U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 2.

In recent matches, KalPa U20 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lukko U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lukko U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Lukko U20 has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa U20 won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 64:65. (average 3.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 2.6:3.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Lukko U20	11	7	1	0	3	35:25	23
9	KalPa U20	10	2	5	0	3	33:31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
09.09.26	KalPa U20 - Tappara U20	4:3 AET ✺
05.09.26	Kiekko-Espoo U20 - KalPa U20	1:6 ✺
04.09.26	Jokerit U20 - KalPa U20	7:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.26	KalPa U20 - Kärpät U20	5:6
14.08.26	Ilves U20 - KalPa U20	7:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLL
- Lukko U20
Finnish SM-sarja U20
11.09.26	Mikkelin Jukurit U20 - Lukko U20	0:4 ✺
05.09.26	Jokerit U20 - Lukko U20	5:0 ✺
04.09.26	Lukko U20 - HIFK U20	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
27.08.26	Vaasan Sport U20 - Lukko U20	1:5
06.08.26	TPS U20 - Lukko U20	1:4
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-sarja U20
17.01.26	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	3:4 penalties
01.11.25	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	1:6
31.03.25	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	3:5
30.03.25	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	2:5
28.03.25	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	2:4
27.03.25	Lukko U20 - KalPa U20	2:0
10.01.25	KalPa U20 - Lukko U20	0:2

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