The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tappara U20 44.9%
Draw 22.1%
Lukko U20 33%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
21.3%
33.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
23.1%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tappara U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Lukko U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara U20 than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko U20 than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Tappara U20 - Lukko U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:22, 0 - 1, Floris J. (G), Vaaranen V. (A),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
03:00, 1 - 1, Jarventie E. (G),
18:44, 1 - 2, Julkunen A. (G), Schwarz J. (A),
19:07, 2 - 2, Vanhatalo V. (G), Jarventie M. (A), Vaarala V. (A2)
19:54, 3 - 2, Jarventie M. (G), Louvanto L. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:48, 3 - 3, Leppa M. (G), Vatjus M. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Schwarz J. (Penalty Shot),
1, Vanhatalo V. (Penalty Shot),
2, Julkunen A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Jarventie E. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tukiainen J. (Penalty Shot),
3, Jarventie M. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sahlstedt D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Louvanto L. (Penalty Shot),
5, Vatjus M. (Penalty Shot),
5, Vauhkonen V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Vanhatalo V. (Penalty Shot),
6, Floris J. (Penalty Shot),
7, Vaarala V. (Penalty Shot),
7, Leppa M. (Penalty Shot),
8, Vanhatalo V. (Penalty Shot),
8, Suominen J. (Penalty Shot),
9, Teuho-Markkola R. (Penalty Shot),
9, Sahlstedt D. (Penalty Shot),
10, Jarventie E. (Penalty Shot),
10, Julkunen A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara U20 won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Lukko U20 could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tappara U20 holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara U20 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:63 (averaging 2.5:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 21:33 goals (averaging 2.1:3.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Lukko U20
11
7
1
0
3
35:25
23
8
Tappara U20
11
6
0
2
3
34:32
20
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara U20 - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.32%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.