Match Info

NMHL

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Kaluga		Bryansk

	1	X	2
	1.44	5.35	4.83
	1.37	5.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	5.28 ↓ (6)	4.92 ↓ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
64.4%

Draw
17.2%

Bryansk
18.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67%

15.5%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

15.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Bryansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bryansk than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Kaluga - Bryansk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
01:40, 0 - 1, Chikin A. (G), Romadin D. (A), Shtrykin N. (A2)
05:59, 1 - 1, Meshcherin K. (G), Leshchyov I. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
13:21, 1 - 2, Mulin A. (G), Zalyubovsky N. (A),
18:51, 2 - 2, Vildanov A. (G), Khalilov I. (A),
19:50, 3 - 2, Chemerskikh S. (G), Fatkullin D. (A), Kitanin I. (A2)

Preview

Kaluga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bryansk has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bryansk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bryansk has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kaluga is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 4.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Kaluga
RHL
29.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	4:1 ✺
24.10.25	Voevoda Podolsk - Kaluga	4:5 penalties ✺
23.10.25	Voevoda Podolsk - Kaluga	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Kaluga - Tverichi	8:0 ✺
13.10.25	Kaluga - Tverichi	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLWW
- HC Bryansk
RHL
29.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	4:1 ✺
17.10.25	Bryansk - Tverichi	3:2 OT ✺
16.10.25	Bryansk - Tverichi	7:2 ✺
13.10.25	Bryansk - Buran Moscow	2:7 ✺
12.10.25	Bryansk - Buran Moscow	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
29.10.25	Kaluga - Bryansk	4:1
27.11.24	Bryansk - Kaluga	3:4
26.11.24	Bryansk - Kaluga	2:5

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Kaluga
RHL
31.10.26	Kaluga - Arktika Murmansk	✺

Kaluga - Bryansk