Match Info

NMHL

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Kaluga		Metallurg Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	1.56	4.6	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.59)	4.6 ↑ (4.55)	4.19 ↑ (4.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaluga
58.4%

Draw
19.8%

Metallurg Cherepovets
21.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.3%

20%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Metallurg Cherepovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
09:59, 0 - 1, Vasilyev G. (G), Korsakov A. (A),
10:41, 1 - 1, Meshcherin K. (G), Sorokin D. (A),
13:13, 2 - 1, Khalilov I. (G),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
01:38, 3 - 1, Yastrebov A. (G),
06:33, 4 - 1, Dyachenko N. (G), Khandiy N. (A),
11:57, 5 - 1, Vildanov A. (G),
14:06, 6 - 1, Dyachenko N. (G),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
10:00, 7 - 1, Foroshchuk A. (G),
14:10, 8 - 1, Meshkantsov Z. (G),
17:39, 8 - 2, Agarkov I. (G),
18:05, 8 - 3, Krivobryukhov Y. (G),

Preview

Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

M Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 2.

Kaluga is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

M Cherepovets's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kaluga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, M Cherepovets has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kaluga is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kaluga will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:28. (average 4.7:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHK Kaluga
RHL
05.03.26	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:2 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Arktika Murmansk - Kaluga	4:5 OT ✺
21.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:5 ✺
20.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWL
- Metallurg Cherepovets
RHL
05.03.26	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:2 penalties ✺
21.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Buran Moscow	2:4 ✺
20.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Buran Moscow	0:7 ✺
17.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Tverichi	2:1 OT ✺
16.02.26	Metallurg Cherepovets - Tverichi	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
05.03.26	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	3:2 penalties
05.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	1:10
04.12.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	4:3
04.03.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	6:4
03.03.25	Metallurg Cherepovets - Kaluga	8:1
31.10.24	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	5:4
30.10.24	Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets	7:3

Kaluga - Metallurg Cherepovets