Match Info

NMHL

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	6.13	5.45	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.13 ↓ (7.15)	5.45 ↑ (5.1)	1.33 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
14.9%

Draw
16.7%

Kaluga
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

17.8%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

18.4%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tayfun Saint-Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tayfun Saint-Petersburg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Tayfun Saint Petersburg - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
01:09, 0 - 1, Kitanin I. (G), Repin R. (A),
02:34, 0 - 2, Dolgorukov D. (G), Khalilov I. (A), Dyachenko N. (A2)
11:53, 0 - 3, Meshcherin K. (G), Vlasov K. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
05:03, 0 - 4, Fatkullin D. (G), Repin R. (A), Ushenin A. (A2)
12:36, 0 - 5, Kitanin I. (G), Ushenin A. (A), Fatkullin D. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:44, 1 - 5, Belyayev D. (G), Gogolinsky I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tayfun won 2.

Tayfun has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kaluga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Kaluga has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kaluga is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tayfun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 3.3:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tayfun won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 3.3:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tayfun Saint-Petersburg
RHL
20.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Bryansk	6:2 ✺
16.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Bryansk	3:4 ✺
12.02.26	Buran Moscow - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	4:0 ✺
11.02.26	Buran Moscow - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	13:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL
- MHK Kaluga
RHL
20.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	3:4 ✺
14.02.26	Kaluga - Fakel Salekhard	4:2 ✺
10.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	1:2 penalties ✺
09.02.26	Kaluga - Granit Chekhov	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
20.02.26	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	1:2
25.11.25	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	7:2
24.11.25	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	3:5
14.01.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	2:4
13.01.25	Tayfun Saint-Petersburg - Kaluga	7:3
17.12.24	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	5:3
16.12.24	Kaluga - Tayfun Saint-Petersburg	4:3 OT

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