Match Info

MHL

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Kapitan Stupino		Atlant

	1	X	2
	2.41	3.8	2.46
	2.41	4.01	2.41	Watch
	2.35	4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.37)	3.94 ↑ (3.85)	2.39 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapitan Stupino
38.4%

Draw
23.3%

Atlant
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

23.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

23.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atlant has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Kapitan Stupino aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlant than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Kapitan Stupino - Atlant Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)	59. Proskurin V. (G)
81. Tarasov A.	21. Paskin Y.
95. Dautov M. (C)	39. Antipov A.
7. Babenko M.	18. Mylnikov N. (A)
24. Maximov R.	26. Yenenko D.
89. Rummo Y. (A)	53. Bolbat G.
Line 2
54. Kondratyev A.	16. Bryksin A. (A)
94. Kozlov I.	23. Koblenkov S.
72. Vdovtsov A.	14. Krylov A.
79. Bashlykov Y.	20. Galako Z.
82. Drozdov V. (A)	56. Danilkin P.
Line 3
49. Pogorelov S.	91. Yanus G.
48. Maklakov A.	95. Terentyev M.
58. Lapshov D.	74. Lavrov Y.
59. Vishnyakov S.	87. Afanasyev N. (C)
62. Soshnikov A.	97. Kuznetsov S.
Line 4
3. Safin E.	8. Gabdulbayanov S.
20. Vergeichik V.	37. Dyomkin I.
27. Lobanov I.	76. Kochkin B.
36. Kutishchev K.	80. Denisov D.
76. Tatulov G.	99. Larionov A.
Substitutes
60. Gusev R. (G)	1. Zaitsev P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
09:36, 0 - 1, Mylnikov N. (G),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
05:06, 1 - 1, Vishnyakov S. (G), Dautov M. (A), Soshnikov A. (A2)
08:56, 2 - 1, Babenko M. (G), Maklakov A. (A), Rummo Y. (A2)
10:08, 3 - 1, Kutishchev K. (G), Vergeichik V. (A), Lobanov I. (A2)
15:28, 3 - 2, Galako Z. (G), Danilkin P. (A), Antipov A. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
11:10, 4 - 2, Maximov R. (G), Soshnikov A. (A),
11:41, 5 - 2, Kutishchev K. (G), Drozdov V. (A), Kondratyev A. (A2)
16:45, 5 - 3, Afanasyev N. (G), Paskin Y. (A), Yenenko D. (A2)
18:14, 6 - 3, Soshnikov A. (G), Maklakov A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 2.

Kapitan Stupino is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atlant's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlant may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Atlant has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 53:53. (average 2.7:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 2.4:2.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kapitan Stupino - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Atlant - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.69%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
17.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:6 ✺
15.01.26	Mikhaylov Academy - Kapitan Stupino	5:1 ✺
12.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Spartak	3:8 ✺
09.01.26	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	6:1 ✺
06.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Krylya Sovetov	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JHC Atlant
MHL
23.01.26	Atlant - Dinamo St. Petersburg	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Atlant - Spartak MAX	0:1 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Atlant - Dinamo-Shinnik	1:5 ✺
12.01.26	Atlant - Dinamo-Karelia	5:3 ✺
11.01.26	Atlant - Dinamo-Karelia	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
11.10.25	Atlant - Kapitan Stupino	5:3
28.09.25	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	0:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
28.08.25	Atlant - Kapitan Stupino	1:4
27.08.25	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	3:0
MHL
08.11.24	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	1:2
05.11.24	Atlant - Kapitan Stupino	3:1
21.01.24	Kapitan Stupino - Atlant	1:3

Kapitan Stupino - Atlant: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide