Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Kapitan Stupino		Krasnaya Armiya

	1	X	2
	7.23	5.7	1.29	Watch
	7.25	5.5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.24 ↑ (6.72)	5.6 ↓ (5.65)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapitan Stupino
12.5%

Draw
16.2%

Krasnaya Armiya
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.7%

16.3%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3%

18.2%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapitan Stupino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Krasnaya Armiya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnaya Armiya than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krasnaya Armiya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Line 1
50. Rudovich P. (G)	57. Dubrovin K. (G)
81. Tarasov A.	54. Shtyrhunov V.
95. Dautov M. (C)	86. Gubanov A. (A)
72. Vdovtsov A.	52. Poroshkov D. (C)
78. Sulima V. (A)	53. Matveiko Y.
82. Drozdov V. (A)	67. Privalov N.
Line 2
54. Kondratyev A.	83. Adamov Y.
94. Kozlov I.	92. Venskel M.
7. Babenko M.	9. Dontsov A.
39. Kuzmin F.	50. Okunev I.
89. Rummo Y.	84. Lagoda G.
Line 3
3. Safin E.	4. Yukin I.
49. Pogorelov S.	65. Pestretsov B.
27. Lobanov I.	73. Mikhailov N.
62. Soshnikov A.	74. Frolov N. (A)
79. Bashlykov Y.	90. Pautov I.
Line 4
20. Vergeichik V.	12. Rodionov A.
36. Kutishchev K.	38. Petrov A.
47. Rakov P.	40. Sidorov P.
64. Zotov I.	68. Poss I.
83. Menshenin Y.	85. Kabisov L.
Substitutes
52. Beryoza A. (G)	64. Andreyanov P. (G)
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)	1. Privalov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
07:26, 0 - 1, Okunev I. (G), Lagoda G. (A),
11:43, 0 - 2, Pautov I. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
06:25, 0 - 3, Poroshkov D. (G), Privalov N. (A), Shtyrhunov V. (A2)
09:55, 0 - 4, Pestretsov B. (G), Pautov I. (A), Frolov N. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:51, 1 - 4, Rummo Y. (G), Babenko M. (A), Soshnikov A. (A2)
11:48, 2 - 4, Babenko M. (G), Rummo Y. (A), Dautov M. (A2)
12:13, 2 - 5, Mikhailov N. (G), Shtyrhunov V. (A), Pautov I. (A2)
17:08, 2 - 6, Dontsov A. (G), Lagoda G. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 0.

Recent form of Kapitan Stupino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Krasnaya Armiya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kapitan Stupino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Krasnaya Armiya is the team to beat.

We predict that Krasnaya Armiya will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 34:90. (average 1.7:4.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:35. (average 2.1:5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapitan Stupino
MHL
15.01.26	Mikhaylov Academy - Kapitan Stupino	5:1 ✺
12.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - MHC Spartak	3:8 ✺
09.01.26	Loko - Kapitan Stupino	6:1 ✺
06.01.26	Kapitan Stupino - Krylya Sovetov	2:3 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Sakhalinskie Akuly - Kapitan Stupino	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Krasnaya Armiya
MHL
11.01.26	AKM-Junior - Krasnaya Armiya	0:4 ✺
09.01.26	Krasnaya Armiya - Spartak MAX	3:2 ✺
28.12.25	MHC Spartak - Krasnaya Armiya	6:1 ✺
23.12.25	Krasnaya Armiya - MHC Spartak	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Krasnaya Armiya - MHC Dynamo Moscow	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
04.10.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	1:0 OT
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	3:2
MHL
10.01.25	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:5
09.01.25	Kapitan Stupino - Krasnaya Armiya	2:6
29.10.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	4:1
28.10.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	6:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
16.08.24	Krasnaya Armiya - Kapitan Stupino	5:0

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