Match Info
MHLDate: 14 February 2026, Saturday
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 |
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 |
|
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Kapitan Stupino |
|
SKA-Akademiya |
|
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.12 |
4.1 |
2.81 |
|
 |
2.12 |
4.73 |
2.52 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
4.5 |
2.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.36) |
4.44 ↓
(4.6) |
2.61 ↑
(2.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Kapitan Stupino
44% | Draw
20.7% | SKA-Akademiya
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kapitan Stupino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-Akademiya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kapitan Stupino than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kapitan Stupino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-Akademiya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Kapitan Stupino - SKA Akademiya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
50.  Rudovich P. (G)
| 30.  Karbainov M. (G)
|
75. Tsevelev V.
| 8. Uglov A.
|
94. Kozlov I.
| 56. Gorokhov S.
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72. Vdovtsov A.
| 16. Savin D.
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82. Drozdov V. (A)
| 88. Timashkov M.
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7. Babenko M.
| 65. Privalov Y. (A)
|
| Line 2 |
|---|
49. Pogorelov S.
| 19. Mironov V.
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95. Dautov M. (C)
| 24. Drozhzhin V.
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62. Soshnikov A.
| 17. Kovtun A.
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59. Vishnyakov S.
| 9. Fursov K. (A)
|
24. Maximov R.
| 4. Korablyov A. (C)
|
| Line 3 |
|---|
48. Maklakov A.
| 12. Khodeyev Y.
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81. Tarasov A.
| 7. Aptikashev D.
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58. Lapshov D.
| 23. Shapovalov A.
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27. Lobanov I. (A)
| 71. Lvov N.
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79. Bashlykov Y.
| 22. Zatsepin S.
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| Line 4 |
|---|
3. Safin E.
| 29. Kovalyov M.
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76. Tatulov G.
| 81. Chervyakov I.
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20. Vergeichik V.
| 72. Chernykh D.
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36. Kutishchev K.
| 97. Samoilov A.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
40. Gulkovsky K. (G)
| 73. Gorbushin P.
|
69. Lebedev M.
| 70. Popov I. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 06:36, 0 - 1, Chervyakov I. (G), Chernykh D. (A), Drozhzhin V. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:45, 0 - 2, Zatsepin S. (G), Shapovalov A. (A), Lvov N. (A2)
- 10:21, 0 - 3, Kovtun A. (G), Timashkov M. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 05:28, 1 - 3, Babenko M. (G), Drozdov V. (A),
- 16:59, 2 - 3, Lapshov D. (G), Tsevelev V. (A), Lebedev M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 3.Kapitan Stupino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).SKA-Akademiya is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, SKA-Akademiya has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.We predict that Kapitan Stupino will win today's game, with odds of 2.36.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kapitan Stupino won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 3.1:3).Including home matches between the teams, Kapitan Stupino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 3.7:3.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Kapitan Stupino - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.38%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| MHL | | | 13.02.26 | Kapitan Stupino - SKA-Akademiya | 4:2 | | 09.11.25 | SKA-Akademiya - Kapitan Stupino | 4:6 | | 08.11.25 | SKA-Akademiya - Kapitan Stupino | 1:2 OT | | 26.01.25 | Kapitan Stupino - SKA-Akademiya | 6:4 | | 02.12.24 | Kapitan Stupino - SKA-Akademiya | 3:4 | | 16.11.24 | SKA-Akademiya - Kapitan Stupino | 4:3 OT | | 11.10.24 | SKA-Akademiya - Kapitan Stupino | 2:3 |
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