Match Info

DEL2 - Play Out - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Energie Schwaben Arena (Kaufbeuren)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Sportdeuschland


	Kaufbeuren		EHC Freiburg

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.3	2.35
	2.4	3.85	2.34
	2.36	3.92	2.35
	2.4	4.22	2.4	Watch
	2.38	4	2.25
	2.38	4.05	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.45)	4.06 ↓ (4.15)	2.34 (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaufbeuren
38.4%

Draw
22.5%

EHC Freiburg
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

22.4%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

24.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaufbeuren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

EHC Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaufbeuren than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EHC Freiburg than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kaufbeuren (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Fiessinger D. (G)	40. Hegmann F. (G)
5. Mayer P.	95. Kuhnhauser K.
20. Tychonick J.	7. Ventela S.
16. Raedeke B.	89. Muhlbauer L.
91. McLellan T.	9. Linsenmaier N.
93. Turnbull T.	71. O'Donnell S.
Line 2
18. Kaiser R.	8. Schlenker C.
29. Appendino N.	86. De Los Rios A.
9. Oswald M.	20. McCallum L.
70. Hadraschek M.	57. Kretschmann C.
71. Blomqvist S.	13. Ilestedt F.
Line 3
28. Rogl J.	78. Schindler S.
13. Koziol F.	27. Trinkberger D.
52. Joly D.	81. Billich C.
8. Cassetti J.	21. Ewanyk T.
3. Burghart Y.	91. Schwamberger T.
Line 4
83. Reinwald F.	61. Hempel N.
21. Kislinger M.	23. Bechtold P.
39. Laaksonen J.	28. Weyrauch T.
7. Fischer J.	98. Kiefersauer C.
Substitutes
31. Babulis R. (G)	64. Cerveny P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
02:12, 1 - 0, Laaksonen J. (G), Appendino N. (A),
04:08, 2 - 0, Joly D. (G), Burghart Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
02:53, 3 - 0, Joly D. (G),
11:48, 3 - 1, Linsenmaier N. (G), Ventela S. (A), Ilestedt F. (A2)
17:09, 3 - 2, McCallum L. (G), Ilestedt F. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
01:08, 3 - 3, O'Donnell S. (G), Muhlbauer L. (A),
05:02, 3 - 4, Schwamberger T. (G), De Los Rios A. (A), Ilestedt F. (A2)
06:39, 4 - 4, McLellan T. (G), Turnbull T. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:44, 4 - 5, Weyrauch T. (G), Schwamberger T. (A), McCallum L. (A2)

Preview

Freiburg leads series 2-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaufbeuren won 1.

Kaufbeuren has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Freiburg has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kaufbeuren won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:55. (average 3.4:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaufbeuren won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:23. (average 4.1:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
12	Freiburg	7	1	1	2	3	12:19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Kaufbeuren - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

EHC Freiburg - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ESV Kaufbeuren
German DEL2
13.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Kaufbeuren - Rote Teufel Bad Nauheim	4:1 ✺
06.03.26	Crimmitschau - Kaufbeuren	5:4 OT ✺
01.03.26	Landshut Cannibals - Kaufbeuren	5:2 ✺
27.02.26	Kaufbeuren - Krefeld Pinguine	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- EHC Freiburg
German DEL2
13.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Crimmitschau	3:2 OT ✺
06.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Dusseldorfer EG	4:6 ✺
01.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Ravensburg	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Regensburg - EHC Freiburg	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

German DEL2
13.03.26	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	2:1
08.02.26	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	5:2
26.12.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	4:2
21.11.25	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	5:2
03.10.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	2:3
02.03.25	Kaufbeuren - EHC Freiburg	2:6
11.02.25	EHC Freiburg - Kaufbeuren	0:5

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