Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 24

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Kitzbühel (Kitzbühel)


	Kitzbühel		Zell am See

	1	X	2
	2.45	4.25	2.1	Watch
	2.7	4.13	1.91
	2.64	4.57	2.04	Watch
	2.6	4	2.05
	2.7	3.96	2.1
	2.75	4.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.15)	4.2 ↑ (3.96)	2.03 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kitzbühel
34.1%

Draw
21.4%

Zell am See
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

23.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

22.9%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kitzbühel's form might have worsened.

Zell am See has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zell am See's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kitzbühel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zell am See than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zell am See, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kitzbühel - Zell am See Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
33. McCollum T. (G)	25. Schmidt A. (G)
14. Podlipnik M.	55. Lindner L.
4. Mitrovic M.	97. Widen F.
24. Crnkic M.	40. Huard N.
26. Bretschneider N.	12. Coffman T.
86. Loshing Y.	29. Putnik P.
Line 2
91. Wetzl N.	16. Fechtig B.
41. Pfeffer J.	19. Cuma T.
93. Ketonen N.	75. Wilfan M.
78. Maxa A.	11. Tomazevic B.
11. Hochfilzer H.	23. Jennes C.
Line 3
94. Bruckner P.	5. Zauner S.
43. Raspotnig J.	60. Pallierer T.
70. Lippitsch J.	64. Wernicke J.
20. Krainz C.	9. Schmid P.
37. Engelhart J.	77. Stiegler M.
Line 4
12. Hanl M.	86. Rupnik A.
88. Aigner R.	4. Steffler K.
18. Cernik D.	6. Lahoda A.
	34. Prodinger D.
	69. Widhalm L.
Substitutes
30. Gratzer M. (G)	33. Burghard D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
06:56, 1 - 0, Hochfilzer H. (G), Ketonen N. (A), Maxa A. (A2)
13:49, 1 - 1, Jennes C. (G), Tomazevic B. (A), Wilfan M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
02:45, 1 - 2, Wilfan M. (G), Jennes C. (A), Tomazevic B. (A2)
03:02, 1 - 3, Widen F. (G), Huard N. (A),
13:02, 1 - 4, Widen F. (G), Tomazevic B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitzbühel won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Kitzbühel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitzbühel won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 61:69. (average 3.1:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Kitzbühel won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:28. (average 3.8:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Zell am See - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Kitzbühel
Alps Hockey League
06.12.25	Kitzbühel - Sisak	1:3 ✺
04.12.25	Merano Junior - Kitzbühel	4:5 ✺
29.11.25	Asiago - Kitzbühel	3:4 penalties ✺
27.11.25	Kitzbühel - Red Bull Salzburg 2	3:6 ✺
22.11.25	Unterland Cavaliers - Kitzbühel	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- EK Zell am See Eisbären
Alps Hockey League
06.12.25	Ritten-Renon - Zell am See	1:0 penalties ✺
29.11.25	Zell am See - Unterland Cavaliers	1:5 ✺
27.11.25	Cortina - Zell am See	2:4 ✺
22.11.25	Zell am See - Red Bull Salzburg 2	7:4 ✺
20.11.25	Zell am See - Ritten-Renon	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
23.10.25	Zell am See - Kitzbühel	3:2
27.02.25	Kitzbühel - Zell am See	2:3 OT
18.02.25	Zell am See - Kitzbühel	3:0
04.01.25	Zell am See - Kitzbühel	2:3 penalties
28.09.24	Kitzbühel - Zell am See	5:2
02.12.23	Zell am See - Kitzbühel	4:3 penalties
01.11.23	Kitzbühel - Zell am See	1:2 OT

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