Match Info

Maxa liga - Round 6

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Winter stadium RETIA (Kolin)


	Kolín		Vsetín

	1	X	2
	2.20	4.20	2.40
	2.23	4.50	2.38
	2.60	3.99	2.30
	2.44	4.3	2.34	Watch
	2.55	3.95	2.25
	2.49	3.86	2.23
	2.40	4.10	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.28)	4.13 ↓ (4.27)	2.32 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kolín
38.1%

Draw
22.3%

Vsetín
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

21.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

23.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kolín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Vsetín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kolín than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kolín, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vsetín than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vsetín, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kolín - Vsetín Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
2. Kasal J. (G)	95. Svoboda M. (G)
59. Kolmann P. (C)	26. Slovacek O. (C)
20. Vlasak A.	58. Weinhold M.
49. Zavora J.	91. Jandus T.
10. Hasek P.	42. Suchy F.
71. Chalupa M.	61. Pucek R.
Line 2
77. Cernohorsky J.	7. Krizenecky D.
29. Piegl R.	86. Salda R.
82. Simek P.	55. Smerha T.
83. Moravec P.	19. Klhufek P. (A)
57. Svoboda P.	83. Straka P.
Line 3
3. Moravec T.	17. Zahradnicek J. (A)
16. Hampl J.	16. Jenacek S.
84. Zvagulis K.	24. Plos L.
8. Pokorny S.	85. Pospisil E.
91. Ourada K.	14. Costa K.
Line 4
22. Adamec A.	18. Stodulka D.
13. Pajer L.	72. Adamek L.
11. Dlouhy A. (A)	13. Blaha S.
	27. Kolacek A.
Substitutes
15. Hora T.	31. Pavlicek A. (G)
46. Soukup J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
03:51, 1 - 0, Chalupa M. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
09:25, 1 - 1, Adamek L. (G), Blaha S. (A), Kolacek A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:19, 1 - 2, Smerha T. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kolín won 3.

Kolín is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Vsetín is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kolín may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kolín has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kolín has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:67 (averaging 2.1:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kolín against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 20:27 goals (averaging 2.2:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Vsetin	11	8	2	1	0	46:17	29
6	Kolin	12	4	4	1	3	33:30	21

Last Results with these Odds

Kolín - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Vsetín - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TJ SC Kolín
Czech Maxa Liga
19.09.26	Frýdek-Místek - Kolín	3:5 ✺
16.09.26	Kolín - Pardubice B	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Kolín - Baník Sokolov	5:4 penalties ✺
12.09.26	Kolín - Stadion Litoměřice	4:2 ✺
09.09.26	Kolín - Havířov Panthers	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW
- VHK Vsetín
Czech Maxa Liga
19.09.26	Vsetín - Stadion Litoměřice	5:2 ✺
16.09.26	Vsetín - PSG Zlín	7:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vsetín - Třebíč	3:2 OT ✺
09.09.26	Slavia Prague - Vsetín	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
03.09.26	Vítkovice Steel - Vsetín	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech Maxa Liga
28.02.26	Vsetín - Kolín	3:1
10.01.26	Kolín - Vsetín	3:1
26.11.25	Vsetín - Kolín	1:2
18.10.25	Kolín - Vsetín	2:3 penalties
29.01.25	Vsetín - Kolín	5:6
18.12.24	Kolín - Vsetín	2:5
30.10.24	Vsetín - Kolín	1:0

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