The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kongsvinger Knights 35.6%
Draw 22.7%
Ski Elite 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.9%
22.3%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
23%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kongsvinger Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Ski Elite has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger Knights than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ski Elite than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Kongsvinger Knights - Ski Elite Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
17:30, 0 - 1, Syverud E. (G), Selvik T. (A), Mjorud M. (A2)
19:23, 1 - 1, Lystad E. S. (G), Hult E. (A), Berger C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:44, 2 - 1, Tondevold T. (G), Karlsson J. (A), Ronning S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
06:30, 3 - 1, Svaeren A. (G), Ahstrom W. (A), Ronning M. (A2)
18:47, 4 - 1, Ronning M. (G), Kvale B. (A), Karlsson J. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kongsvinger won 2.
Kongsvinger is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ski is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ski may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Kongsvinger has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Kongsvinger has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:33 (averaging 2.2:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kongsvinger against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).