Match Info

NMHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Krasnodar		Tambov

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.9	5.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 (1.44)	4.9 (4.9)	5.03 (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krasnodar
63.3%

Draw
18.6%

Tambov
18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

18.9%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tambov have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Krasnodar - Tambov Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
12:09, 0 - 1, Kozhevnikov D. (G), Charkin D. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
00:48, 0 - 2, Kravtsov I. (G), Matveyev D. (A),
03:23, 0 - 3, Boryasov S. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:12, 0 - 4, Matveyev D. (G),
17:43, 1 - 4, Mukhamedyarov A. (G), Krdzhonyan Y. (A), Petrushenko D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2.

Gvardiya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tambov is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gvardiya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gvardiya has had a series of home games.

Recently, Tambov has had a series of away games.

In this match, Gvardiya is considered a favorite.

We predict that Tambov will win today's game, with odds of 5.03.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 3.6:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 3.7:4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
04.03.26	Krasnodar - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Krasnodar - Progress Glazov	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk	3:4 OT ✺
20.02.26	Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk	1:2 OT ✺
17.02.26	Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- MHC Tambov
RHL
04.03.26	Krasnodar - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
22.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Dizelist Penza - Tambov	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Samara - Tambov	1:5 ✺
17.02.26	Samara - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 41.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
04.03.26	Krasnodar - Tambov	3:4 penalties
24.10.25	Tambov - Krasnodar	2:1
23.10.25	Tambov - Krasnodar	2:5
23.02.25	Krasnodar - Tambov	5:2
22.02.25	Krasnodar - Tambov	3:6
08.11.24	Tambov - Krasnodar	3:5
07.11.24	Tambov - Krasnodar	2:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Krasnodar
RHL
29.10.26	Krasnodar - Kristall Saratov	✺

Krasnodar - Tambov